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Sinqia Valuation

Is SQIA3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SQIA3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SQIA3 (R$27.37) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$7.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SQIA3 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SQIA3?

Key metric: As SQIA3 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SQIA3. This is calculated by dividing SQIA3's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SQIA3's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.5x
SalesR$656.63m
Market CapR$2.32b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SQIA3's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SQIA3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.7x
NGRD3 Neogrid Participações
1x13.2%R$260.3m
LWSA3 Locaweb Serviços de Internet
1.6x12.8%R$2.1b
CLSA3 ClearSale
3.9xn/aR$1.8b
596 Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology
0.4x23.3%HK$3.5b
SQIA3 Sinqia
3.5x16.3%R$2.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SQIA3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.5x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SQIA3's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Software Industry?

243 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SQIA3 3.5xIndustry Avg. 3.2xNo. of Companies243PS02.85.68.411.214+
243 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SQIA3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.5x) compared to the Global Software industry average (2.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SQIA3's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SQIA3 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.5x
Fair PS Ratio2.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SQIA3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SQIA3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
R$28.14
0%
11.6%R$34.00R$24.00n/a5
Nov ’25n/a
R$28.14
0%
11.6%R$34.00R$24.00n/a5
Oct ’25n/a
R$28.14
0%
11.6%R$34.00R$24.00n/a5
Sep ’25n/a
R$28.14
0%
11.6%R$34.00R$24.00n/a5
Aug ’25n/a
R$28.14
0%
11.6%R$34.00R$24.00n/a5
Jul ’25n/a
R$28.14
0%
11.6%R$34.00R$24.00n/a5
Jun ’25n/a
R$28.14
0%
11.6%R$34.00R$24.00n/a5
May ’25n/a
R$28.14
0%
11.6%R$34.00R$24.00n/a5
Apr ’25n/a
R$28.14
0%
11.6%R$34.00R$24.00n/a5
Mar ’25n/a
R$28.14
0%
11.6%R$34.00R$24.00n/a5
Feb ’25n/a
R$28.14
0%
11.6%R$34.00R$24.00n/a5
Jan ’25n/a
R$28.14
0%
11.6%R$34.00R$24.00n/a5
Dec ’24n/a
R$28.14
0%
11.6%R$34.00R$24.00n/a5
Nov ’24R$27.37
R$28.15
+2.8%
10.6%R$34.00R$24.00n/a6
Oct ’24R$27.28
R$26.81
-1.7%
5.7%R$28.19R$24.00n/a7
Sep ’24R$27.42
R$26.71
-2.6%
5.5%R$28.19R$24.00n/a8
Aug ’24R$26.64
R$26.28
-1.3%
4.6%R$27.77R$24.00n/a8
Jul ’24R$22.11
R$25.57
+15.6%
7.4%R$27.77R$22.00n/a7
Jun ’24R$20.85
R$25.28
+21.3%
7.8%R$27.77R$22.00n/a7
May ’24R$15.92
R$27.25
+71.1%
14.0%R$34.00R$22.00n/a8
Apr ’24R$15.74
R$26.12
+66.0%
11.0%R$32.00R$22.00n/a8
Mar ’24R$15.83
R$25.40
+60.5%
9.3%R$30.00R$22.00n/a8
Feb ’24R$17.61
R$26.53
+50.6%
13.9%R$34.00R$22.00n/a8
Jan ’24R$15.03
R$26.78
+78.1%
13.3%R$34.00R$22.00n/a8
Dec ’23R$15.93
R$26.78
+68.1%
13.3%R$34.00R$22.00n/a8
Nov ’23R$20.23
R$29.00
+43.4%
12.5%R$34.00R$23.00R$27.377

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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