Stock Analysis

Here's Why Marisa Lojas (BVMF:AMAR3) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

BOVESPA:AMAR3
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Marisa Lojas S.A. (BVMF:AMAR3) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Marisa Lojas

What Is Marisa Lojas's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Marisa Lojas had R$857.1m of debt, at March 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had R$156.4m in cash, and so its net debt is R$700.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:AMAR3 Debt to Equity History August 4th 2022

How Strong Is Marisa Lojas' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Marisa Lojas had liabilities of R$1.27b due within a year, and liabilities of R$976.3m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of R$156.4m and R$1.08b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by R$1.01b.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's R$846.3m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.17 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 13.6 hit our confidence in Marisa Lojas like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Marisa Lojas is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of R$13m, over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Marisa Lojas can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Marisa Lojas burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Marisa Lojas's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Marisa Lojas has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Marisa Lojas (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.