Stock Analysis

Hypera S.A.'s (BVMF:HYPE3) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

BOVESPA:HYPE3
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It's not a stretch to say that Hypera S.A.'s (BVMF:HYPE3) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Brazil, where the median P/E ratio is around 12x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Hypera has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Hypera

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BOVESPA:HYPE3 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 22nd 2023
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hypera will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Hypera's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 8.1% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 42% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 18% each year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 21% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that Hypera's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Hypera currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Hypera (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Hypera. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hypera might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.