Metalurgica Gerdau S.A.

BOVESPA:GOAU3 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$11.5b

Metalurgica Gerdau Valuation

Is GOAU3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GOAU3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GOAU3 (R$11.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$39.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GOAU3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GOAU3?

Key metric: As GOAU3 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for GOAU3. This is calculated by dividing GOAU3's market cap by their current revenue.
What is GOAU3's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesR$64.92b
Market CapR$11.55b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GOAU3's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GOAU3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
CSNA3 Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
0.3x2.4%R$14.9b
USIM5 Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais
0.3x3.5%R$7.6b
CMIN3 CSN Mineração
1.7x-2.6%R$28.6b
GGBR4 Gerdau
0.6x5.0%R$41.1b
GOAU3 Metalurgica Gerdau
0.2xn/aR$11.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GOAU3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does GOAU3's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Metals and Mining Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GOAU3 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies10PS00.61.21.82.43+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GOAU3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the South American Metals and Mining industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GOAU3's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GOAU3 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GOAU3's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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