Metalurgica Gerdau Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of GOAU3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

GOAU3 (R$10.95) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (R$38.01)

Is GOAU3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GOAU3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GOAU3 (R$10.95) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$38.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GOAU3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GOAU3?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for GOAU3. This is calculated by dividing GOAU3's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is GOAU3's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	n/a

GOAU3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	6.1x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GOAU3's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GOAU3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	0.8x
USIM5 Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais	0.3x	3.4%	R$8.1b
CSNA3 Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional	0.4x	2.2%	R$16.3b
CMIN3 CSN Mineração	1.8x	-4.4%	R$34.0b
GGBR4 Gerdau	0.7x	5.1%	R$42.4b
GOAU3 Metalurgica Gerdau	0.2x	n/a	R$11.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GOAU3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GOAU3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Metals and Mining Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	-1.8%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	-1.8%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GOAU3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the South American Metals and Mining industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GOAU3's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GOAU3 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.2x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GOAU3's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.