Mondelez International, Inc.

BOVESPA:MDLZ34 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$519.0b

Mondelez International Valuation

Is MDLZ34 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MDLZ34 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MDLZ34 (R$192.29) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$327.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MDLZ34 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MDLZ34?

Key metric: As MDLZ34 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MDLZ34. This is calculated by dividing MDLZ34's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MDLZ34's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.8x
EarningsUS$3.82b
Market CapUS$86.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MDLZ34's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MDLZ34 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.4x
11.4x-0.8%R$82.8b
12.4x-21.6%R$40.6b
MRFG3 Marfrig Global Foods
2.5x-121.0%R$16.7b
SMTO3 São Martinho
7.5x-2.5%R$8.4b
MDLZ34 Mondelez International
22.8x10.6%R$86.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MDLZ34 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the peer average (8.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MDLZ34's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Food Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MDLZ34 22.8xIndustry Avg. 10.1xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MDLZ34 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the South American Food industry average (10.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MDLZ34's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MDLZ34 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.8x
Fair PE Ratio17.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MDLZ34 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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