Stock Analysis

Petroreconcavo's (BVMF:RECV3) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

BOVESPA:RECV3
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The market rallied behind Petroreconcavo S.A.'s (BVMF:RECV3) stock, leading do a rise in the share price after its recent weak earnings report. We think that shareholders might be missing some concerning factors that our analysis found.

See our latest analysis for Petroreconcavo

earnings-and-revenue-history
BOVESPA:RECV3 Earnings and Revenue History August 16th 2024

An Unusual Tax Situation

We can see that Petroreconcavo received a tax benefit of R$134m. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! We're sure the company was pleased with its tax benefit. However, our data indicates that tax benefits can temporarily boost statutory profit in the year it is booked, but subsequently profit may fall back. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Petroreconcavo's Profit Performance

Petroreconcavo reported that it received a tax benefit, rather than paid tax, in its last report. As a result we don't think its profit result, which includes that tax-boost, is a good guide to its sustainable profit levels. Because of this, we think that it may be that Petroreconcavo's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 25% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example - Petroreconcavo has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Petroreconcavo's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.