TAL Education Group

BOVESPA:T1AL34 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$34.5b

TAL Education Group Valuation

Is T1AL34 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of T1AL34 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: T1AL34 (R$5.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: T1AL34 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for T1AL34?

Key metric: As T1AL34 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for T1AL34. This is calculated by dividing T1AL34's market cap by their current earnings.
What is T1AL34's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio81.4x
EarningsUS$72.40m
Market CapUS$5.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does T1AL34's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for T1AL34 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17x
YDUQ3 Yduqs Participações
14.1x36.8%R$2.9b
CSED3 Cruzeiro do Sul Educacional
8.1x27.4%R$1.3b
SEER3 Ser Educacional
25.2x41.2%R$876.2m
VTRU3 Vitru Brasil Empreendimentos Participações e Comércio
20.7x42.1%R$1.1b
T1AL34 TAL Education Group
81.4x36.1%R$5.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: T1AL34 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (81.4x) compared to the peer average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does T1AL34's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Consumer Services Industry?

27 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
T1AL34 81.4xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies39PE01632486480+
27 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: T1AL34 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (81.4x) compared to the Global Consumer Services industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is T1AL34's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

T1AL34 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio81.4x
Fair PE Ratio43x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: T1AL34 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (81.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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