McDonald's Corporation

BOVESPA:MCDC34 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$1.2t

McDonald's Valuation

Is MCDC34 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MCDC34 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MCDC34 (R$84.48) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$75.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MCDC34 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MCDC34?

Key metric: As MCDC34 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MCDC34. This is calculated by dividing MCDC34's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MCDC34's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.3x
EarningsUS$8.25b
Market CapUS$208.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MCDC34's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MCDC34 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.5x
SBUX Starbucks
29.6x10.5%US$111.5b
3690 Meituan
42.1x28.6%HK$1.0t
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill
54x15.5%US$80.1b
YUM Yum! Brands
24.2x8.0%US$36.9b
MCDC34 McDonald's
25.3x6.6%R$208.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MCDC34 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.3x) compared to the peer average (37.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MCDC34's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Hospitality Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MCDC34 25.3xIndustry Avg. 17.1xNo. of Companies3PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MCDC34 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.3x) compared to the South American Hospitality industry average (17.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MCDC34's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MCDC34 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.3x
Fair PE Ratio47x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MCDC34 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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