David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Trisul S.A. (BVMF:TRIS3) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Trisul
What Is Trisul's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2020 Trisul had debt of R$389.9m, up from R$335.0m in one year. However, it also had R$367.6m in cash, and so its net debt is R$22.3m.
How Healthy Is Trisul's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Trisul had liabilities of R$435.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of R$371.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had R$367.6m in cash and R$457.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has R$17.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This state of affairs indicates that Trisul's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the R$2.20b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Carrying virtually no net debt, Trisul has a very light debt load indeed.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Trisul has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.13. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. On top of that, Trisul grew its EBIT by 37% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Trisul can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Trisul burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
The good news is that Trisul's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Trisul is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Take risks, for example - Trisul has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About BOVESPA:TRIS3
Trisul
Engages in the construction and development of real estate properties in Brazil.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.