Trisul Valuation

Is TRIS3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • PM vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TRIS3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TRIS3 (R$4.61) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$3.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TRIS3 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TRIS3?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TRIS3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.1x
PEG Ratio0.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TRIS3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TRIS3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.2x
EVEN3 Even Construtora e Incorporadora
9.8x23.4%R$1.6b
EZTC3 EZTEC Empreendimentos e Participações
19.6x35.7%R$3.7b
PLPL3 Plano & Plano Desenvolvimento Imobiliário
10.6x21.4%R$2.6b
DIRR3 Direcional Engenharia
13x34.4%R$4.0b
TRIS3 Trisul
7.9x42.9%R$839.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TRIS3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the peer average (13.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TRIS3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Durables Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a40.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a40.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TRIS3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the South American Consumer Durables industry average (12.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TRIS3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TRIS3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.9x
Fair PE Ratio14.8x

PM vs Fair Ratio: TRIS3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TRIS3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$4.61
R$9.00
+95.2%
18.1%R$11.00R$7.00n/a3
Feb ’25R$4.67
R$9.00
+92.7%
18.1%R$11.00R$7.00n/a3
Jan ’25R$5.80
R$9.00
+55.2%
18.1%R$11.00R$7.00n/a3
Dec ’24R$5.64
R$9.00
+59.6%
18.1%R$11.00R$7.00n/a3
Nov ’24R$4.64
R$6.00
+29.3%
36.0%R$9.00R$4.00n/a3
Oct ’24R$5.36
R$6.00
+11.9%
36.0%R$9.00R$4.00n/a3
Sep ’24R$5.53
R$6.00
+8.5%
36.0%R$9.00R$4.00n/a3
Aug ’24R$6.23
R$4.67
-25.1%
10.1%R$5.00R$4.00n/a3
Jul ’24R$5.56
R$4.67
-16.1%
10.1%R$5.00R$4.00n/a3
Jun ’24R$4.97
R$4.67
-6.1%
10.1%R$5.00R$4.00n/a3
May ’24R$3.52
R$5.00
+42.0%
14.1%R$6.00R$4.00n/a4
Apr ’24R$3.06
R$5.00
+63.4%
14.1%R$6.00R$4.00n/a4
Mar ’24R$3.35
R$5.20
+55.2%
14.4%R$6.00R$4.00n/a5
Feb ’24R$3.80
R$6.20
+63.2%
32.9%R$10.00R$4.00R$4.675
Jan ’24R$3.44
R$6.40
+86.0%
30.6%R$10.00R$4.00R$5.805
Dec ’23R$3.75
R$6.40
+70.7%
30.6%R$10.00R$4.00R$5.645
Nov ’23R$4.81
R$6.20
+28.9%
32.9%R$10.00R$4.00R$4.645
Oct ’23R$5.14
R$6.40
+24.5%
30.6%R$10.00R$4.00R$5.365
Sep ’23R$4.87
R$6.40
+31.4%
30.6%R$10.00R$4.00R$5.535
Aug ’23R$3.99
R$6.12
+53.4%
34.2%R$10.00R$4.00R$6.235
Jul ’23R$3.51
R$7.87
+124.1%
20.9%R$10.00R$6.00R$5.563
Jun ’23R$3.82
R$10.20
+167.0%
21.7%R$13.00R$7.60R$4.973
May ’23R$3.97
R$10.20
+156.9%
21.7%R$13.00R$7.60R$3.523
Apr ’23R$5.03
R$11.15
+121.7%
22.6%R$14.00R$7.60R$3.064
Mar ’23R$5.15
R$12.10
+135.0%
24.4%R$15.90R$7.60R$3.355
Feb ’23R$6.38
R$14.48
+126.9%
7.5%R$15.90R$13.00R$3.804

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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