Alphaville Valuation

Is AVLL3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AVLL3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate AVLL3's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate AVLL3's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AVLL3?

Key metric: As AVLL3 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AVLL3. This is calculated by dividing AVLL3's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AVLL3's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	0.9x
Sales	R$615.30m
Market Cap	R$552.78m

AVLL3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	2.7x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AVLL3's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AVLL3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	0.7x
TRIS3 Trisul	0.8x	9.7%	R$1.0b
EVEN3 Even Construtora e Incorporadora	0.4x	-6.0%	R$1.1b
PLPL3 Plano & Plano Desenvolvimento Imobiliário	1.1x	12.7%	R$2.6b
TEND3 Construtora Tenda	0.6x	17.8%	R$2.0b
AVLL3 Alphaville	0.9x	25.9%	R$552.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AVLL3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AVLL3's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the BR Consumer Durables Industry?

1 Company	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
SGPS3 Springs Global Participações	0.02x	n/a	US$2.85m

No more companies available in this PS range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AVLL3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the South American Consumer Durables industry average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AVLL3's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AVLL3 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.9x
Fair PS Ratio	1.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AVLL3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.