Aeris Indústria e Comércio de Equipamentos para Geração de Energia S.A.

BOVESPA:AERI3 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$685.7m

Aeris Indústria e Comércio de Equipamentos para Geração de Energia Valuation

Is AERI3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AERI3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AERI3 (R$0.57) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$0.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AERI3 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AERI3?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AERI3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.2x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AERI3's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AERI3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.7x
INEP4 Inepar Indústria e Construções
20.7xn/aR$135.7m
0.4xn/aR$829.0m
ROMI3 Romi
0.8xn/aR$967.1m
MTSA4 METISA Metalúrgica Timboense
0.7xn/aR$553.5m
AERI3 Aeris Indústria e Comércio de Equipamentos para Geração de Energia
0.2x-19.0%R$685.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AERI3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (5.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AERI3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Electrical Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AERI3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the Global Electrical industry average (1.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AERI3's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AERI3 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AERI3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AERI3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$0.57
R$0.95
+66.7%
5.3%R$1.00R$0.90n/a2
Apr ’25R$0.55
R$0.95
+72.7%
5.3%R$1.00R$0.90n/a2
Mar ’25R$0.66
R$2.50
+278.8%
60.0%R$4.00R$1.00n/a2
Feb ’25R$0.78
R$2.50
+220.5%
60.0%R$4.00R$1.00n/a2
Jan ’25R$0.90
R$2.50
+177.8%
60.0%R$4.00R$1.00n/a2
Dec ’24R$0.85
R$2.50
+194.1%
60.0%R$4.00R$1.00n/a2
Nov ’24R$0.83
R$2.60
+213.3%
45.6%R$4.00R$1.10n/a3
Oct ’24R$0.83
R$2.60
+213.3%
45.6%R$4.00R$1.10n/a3
Sep ’24R$0.97
R$2.70
+178.4%
39.3%R$4.00R$1.40n/a3
Aug ’24R$1.23
R$2.70
+119.5%
39.3%R$4.00R$1.40n/a3
Jul ’24R$1.33
R$2.70
+103.0%
39.3%R$4.00R$1.40n/a3
Jun ’24R$1.52
R$2.70
+77.6%
39.3%R$4.00R$1.40n/a3
May ’24R$1.57
R$2.52
+60.5%
34.9%R$4.00R$1.40R$0.565
Apr ’24R$1.18
R$2.52
+113.6%
34.9%R$4.00R$1.40R$0.555
Mar ’24R$1.19
R$2.52
+111.8%
34.9%R$4.00R$1.40R$0.665
Feb ’24R$1.56
R$2.76
+76.7%
36.9%R$4.00R$1.40R$0.785
Jan ’24R$1.13
R$3.30
+191.7%
18.0%R$4.00R$2.50R$0.905
Dec ’23R$1.32
R$4.46
+237.6%
46.8%R$8.50R$2.50R$0.855
Nov ’23R$1.87
R$5.06
+170.4%
44.1%R$8.50R$2.50R$0.835
Oct ’23R$2.01
R$5.06
+151.5%
44.1%R$8.50R$2.50R$0.835
Sep ’23R$2.33
R$6.21
+166.7%
38.9%R$10.00R$3.50R$0.976
Aug ’23R$3.10
R$7.38
+138.1%
37.1%R$11.00R$3.50R$1.236
Jul ’23R$2.50
R$8.00
+220.0%
30.4%R$11.00R$4.50R$1.335
Jun ’23R$3.56
R$8.00
+124.7%
30.4%R$11.00R$4.50R$1.525
May ’23R$4.88
R$8.66
+77.5%
20.1%R$11.00R$6.00R$1.575

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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