Aeris Indústria e Comércio de Equipamentos para Geração de Energia Valuation
Is AERI3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of AERI3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: AERI3 (R$5.62) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$7.22)
Significantly Below Fair Value: AERI3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AERI3?
Key metric: As AERI3 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is AERI3's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.2x |
| Sales | R$2.01b |
| Market Cap | R$336.45m |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.5x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 6.6x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does AERI3's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 4x | ||
INEP4 Inepar Indústria e Construções | 13.5x | n/a | R$60.7m |
RSUL4 Metalúrgica Riosulense | 1x | n/a | R$364.3m |
HBTS5 Companhia Habitasul de Participações | 0.9x | n/a | R$283.1m |
MTSA4 METISA Metalúrgica Timboense | 0.6x | n/a | R$483.1m |
AERI3 Aeris Indústria e Comércio de Equipamentos para Geração de Energia | 0.2x | 5.9% | R$336.5m |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AERI3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (4x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does AERI3's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Electrical Industry?
| 155 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 1.7x | 12.0% | |
AERI3 Aeris Indústria e Comércio de Equipamentos para Geração de Energia | 0.2x | 5.9% | US$58.05m |
| 155 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 1.7x | 22.9% | |
AERI3 Aeris Indústria e Comércio de Equipamentos para Geração de Energia | 0.2x | 168.9% | US$58.05m |
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AERI3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the Global Electrical industry average (1.7x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is AERI3's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.2x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 0.2x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AERI3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | R$5.62 | R$18.50 +229.2% | 8.1% | R$20.00 | R$17.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Nov ’25 | R$6.09 | R$18.50 +203.8% | 8.1% | R$20.00 | R$17.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Oct ’25 | R$6.05 | R$18.50 +205.8% | 8.1% | R$20.00 | R$17.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Sep ’25 | R$12.10 | R$18.50 +52.9% | 8.1% | R$20.00 | R$17.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Aug ’25 | R$5.27 | R$18.50 +251.0% | 8.1% | R$20.00 | R$17.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Jul ’25 | R$5.17 | R$14.50 +180.5% | 17.2% | R$17.00 | R$12.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Jun ’25 | R$8.14 | R$14.50 +78.1% | 17.2% | R$17.00 | R$12.00 | n/a | 2 |
| May ’25 | R$11.20 | R$19.00 +69.6% | 5.3% | R$20.00 | R$18.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Apr ’25 | R$11.00 | R$19.00 +72.7% | 5.3% | R$20.00 | R$18.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Mar ’25 | R$13.20 | R$50.00 +278.8% | 60.0% | R$80.00 | R$20.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Feb ’25 | R$15.60 | R$50.00 +220.5% | 60.0% | R$80.00 | R$20.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Jan ’25 | R$18.00 | R$50.00 +177.8% | 60.0% | R$80.00 | R$20.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Dec ’24 | R$17.00 | R$50.00 +194.1% | 60.0% | R$80.00 | R$20.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Nov ’24 | R$16.60 | R$52.00 +213.3% | 45.6% | R$80.00 | R$22.00 | R$6.09 | 3 |
| Oct ’24 | R$16.60 | R$52.00 +213.3% | 45.6% | R$80.00 | R$22.00 | R$6.05 | 3 |
| Sep ’24 | R$19.40 | R$54.00 +178.4% | 39.3% | R$80.00 | R$28.00 | R$12.10 | 3 |
| Aug ’24 | R$24.60 | R$54.00 +119.5% | 39.3% | R$80.00 | R$28.00 | R$5.27 | 3 |
| Jul ’24 | R$26.60 | R$54.00 +103.0% | 39.3% | R$80.00 | R$28.00 | R$5.17 | 3 |
| Jun ’24 | R$30.40 | R$54.00 +77.6% | 39.3% | R$80.00 | R$28.00 | R$8.14 | 3 |
| May ’24 | R$31.40 | R$50.40 +60.5% | 34.9% | R$80.00 | R$28.00 | R$11.20 | 5 |
| Apr ’24 | R$23.60 | R$50.40 +113.6% | 34.9% | R$80.00 | R$28.00 | R$11.00 | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | R$23.80 | R$50.40 +111.8% | 34.9% | R$80.00 | R$28.00 | R$13.20 | 5 |
| Feb ’24 | R$31.20 | R$55.12 +76.7% | 36.9% | R$80.00 | R$28.00 | R$15.60 | 5 |
| Jan ’24 | R$22.60 | R$65.92 +191.7% | 18.0% | R$80.00 | R$50.00 | R$18.00 | 5 |
| Dec ’23 | R$26.40 | R$89.12 +237.6% | 46.8% | R$170.00 | R$50.00 | R$17.00 | 5 |
| Nov ’23 | R$37.40 | R$101.12 +170.4% | 44.1% | R$170.00 | R$50.00 | R$16.60 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.
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