Harley-Davidson, Inc.

BOVESPA:H1OG34 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$25.6b

Harley-Davidson Valuation

Is H1OG34 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of H1OG34 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: H1OG34 (R$200) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$151.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: H1OG34 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for H1OG34?

Key metric: As H1OG34 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for H1OG34. This is calculated by dividing H1OG34's market cap by their current earnings.
What is H1OG34's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.2x
EarningsUS$598.06m
Market CapUS$4.28b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does H1OG34's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for H1OG34 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.7x
FRAS3 Fras-le
16.9x20.7%R$5.4b
603529 AIMA Technology Group
17x18.3%CN¥32.0b
689009 Ninebot
26.8x27.6%CN¥31.9b
1585 Yadea Group Holdings
14x16.0%HK$37.4b
H1OG34 Harley-Davidson
7.2x2.5%R$4.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: H1OG34 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the peer average (18.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does H1OG34's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
H1OG34 7.2xIndustry Avg. 15.4xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: H1OG34 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is H1OG34's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

H1OG34 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate H1OG34's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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