Xcel Energy Valuation

Is NRN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NRN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NRN (€50.41) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€31.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NRN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NRN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NRN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.9x
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NRN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NRN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.6x
TBD TPP-Bobov Dol AD
13.6xn/aлв235.0m
POWERGRID Power Grid Corporation of India
17.9x6.1%₹2.8t
EIX Edison International
31.3x17.6%US$27.3b
PCG PG&E
15.5x10.5%US$36.6b
NRN Xcel Energy
16.2x9.0%€29.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NRN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the peer average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NRN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NRN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NRN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NRN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NRN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NRN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€50.41
€58.81
+16.7%
7.6%€67.49€53.43n/a16
Apr ’25€49.68
€56.95
+14.6%
9.3%€64.87€49.33n/a15
Mar ’25€46.02
€60.38
+31.2%
7.1%€69.21€54.45n/a14
Feb ’25€55.08
€60.74
+10.3%
6.5%€69.25€56.32n/a14
Jan ’25€55.97
€59.04
+5.5%
6.8%€67.67€53.04n/a14
Dec ’24€55.99
€58.20
+3.9%
7.5%€67.44€52.86n/a14
Nov ’24€56.43
€59.93
+6.2%
7.7%€69.92€54.80n/a14
Oct ’24€54.14
€61.96
+14.4%
8.0%€70.00€54.86n/a14
Sep ’24€52.88
€61.73
+16.7%
8.5%€70.32€54.59n/a14
Aug ’24€57.43
€62.82
+9.4%
6.3%€69.20€53.72n/a13
Jul ’24€56.43
€63.56
+12.6%
7.3%€71.61€54.17n/a13
Jun ’24€59.83
€67.11
+12.2%
7.4%€73.64€55.93n/a13
May ’24€63.69
€66.11
+3.8%
6.5%€71.69€54.45€50.4113
Apr ’24€61.66
€66.56
+7.9%
7.2%€72.49€54.83€49.6813
Mar ’24€59.87
€68.65
+14.7%
6.7%€74.51€55.65€46.0214
Feb ’24€62.88
€67.23
+6.9%
6.4%€72.83€54.39€55.0814
Jan ’24€65.91
€66.26
+0.5%
7.3%€74.25€55.45€55.9714
Dec ’23€68.02
€66.15
-2.7%
6.8%€73.97€55.71€55.9915
Nov ’23n/a
€67.84
0%
7.9%€77.28€58.21€56.4315
Oct ’23n/a
€76.72
0%
8.0%€87.38€58.93€54.1414
Sep ’23n/a
€75.78
0%
8.0%€86.23€58.16€52.8814
Aug ’23n/a
€72.36
0%
7.8%€77.03€55.58€57.4314
Jul ’23n/a
€72.17
0%
8.9%€79.61€54.67€56.4316
Jun ’23n/a
€70.99
0%
8.0%€77.41€53.16€59.8316
May ’23n/a
€72.77
0%
8.2%€79.65€54.05€63.6916

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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