Bayer Aktiengesellschaft

BUL:BAYN Stock Report

Market Cap: €25.7b

Bayer Valuation

Is BAYN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BAYN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BAYN (€25.78) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€58.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BAYN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BAYN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BAYN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BAYN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BAYN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.7x
THQM Tchaikapharma High Quality Medicines AD
31.6xn/aлв1.5b
SFA Sopharma AD
0.6xn/aлв1.1b
UCB UCB
5x9.9%€25.9b
4578 Otsuka Holdings
1.8x1.0%JP¥3.7t
BAYN Bayer
0.5x1.4%€25.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BAYN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (9.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BAYN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BAYN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (3.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BAYN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BAYN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BAYN's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BAYN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€25.78
€36.18
+40.4%
32.9%€68.00€25.00n/a22
Jun ’25€27.76
€36.64
+32.0%
32.9%€68.00€25.00n/a22
May ’25n/a
€36.90
0%
33.3%€68.00€25.00n/a21
Apr ’25n/a
€37.60
0%
33.0%€68.00€25.00n/a20
Mar ’25€28.18
€43.48
+54.3%
30.0%€75.00€25.00n/a21
Feb ’25€32.57
€47.67
+46.4%
30.6%€86.00€25.00n/a21
Jan ’25n/a
€50.32
0%
28.5%€86.00€25.00n/a22
Dec ’24€30.95
€54.68
+76.7%
27.3%€90.00€36.00n/a22
Nov ’24€40.62
€64.13
+57.9%
18.3%€90.00€43.00n/a22
Oct ’24€45.14
€65.89
+46.0%
18.4%€90.00€43.00n/a21
Sep ’24n/a
€66.71
0%
16.6%€90.00€45.00n/a21
Aug ’24n/a
€68.62
0%
18.1%€97.00€45.00n/a21
Jul ’24€50.66
€73.00
+44.1%
16.2%€97.00€57.00n/a20
Jun ’24n/a
€72.85
0%
15.9%€97.00€57.00€27.7621
May ’24n/a
€74.31
0%
16.1%€100.00€57.00n/a22
Apr ’24n/a
€74.45
0%
16.2%€100.00€57.00n/a22
Mar ’24n/a
€74.30
0%
16.5%€99.00€54.00€28.1823
Feb ’24n/a
€73.99
0%
18.0%€106.00€54.00€32.5723
Jan ’24n/a
€76.67
0%
17.4%€106.00€54.00n/a22
Dec ’23€55.13
€77.99
+41.5%
15.9%€106.00€54.00€30.9522
Nov ’23€51.58
€77.41
+50.1%
19.2%€106.00€37.06€40.6222
Oct ’23€47.40
€76.83
+62.1%
18.4%€106.00€37.06€45.1423
Sep ’23€51.00
€78.91
+54.7%
14.5%€106.00€55.00n/a23
Aug ’23€57.35
€77.13
+34.5%
14.9%€106.00€55.00n/a23
Jul ’23n/a
€78.73
0%
18.3%€122.62€55.00€50.6624
Jun ’23n/a
€77.14
0%
19.8%€122.62€55.00n/a25

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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