EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme

BUL:ESL Stock Report

Market Cap: €104.1b

EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme Valuation

Is ESL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ESL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ESL (€229.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€244.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ESL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ESL?

Key metric: As ESL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ESL. This is calculated by dividing ESL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ESL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio45.4x
Earnings€2.29b
Market Cap€104.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ESL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ESL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.3x
7741 HOYA
34.4x11.4%JP¥6.8t
ALC Alcon
37.6x9.8%CHF 38.6b
COLO B Coloplast
39.7x12.9%DKK 200.8b
COO Cooper Companies
57.3x22.9%US$20.6b
ESL EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme
45.4x15.6%€104.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ESL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.4x) compared to the peer average (42.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ESL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Medical Equipment Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ESL 45.4xIndustry Avg. 29.6xNo. of Companies8PE01632486480+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ESL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.4x) compared to the European Medical Equipment industry average (29.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ESL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ESL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio45.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ESL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ESL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€229.35
€219.05
-4.5%
10.2%€263.00€173.00n/a20
Nov ’25€217.15
€218.75
+0.7%
10.3%€263.00€173.00n/a20
Oct ’25€211.95
€212.95
+0.5%
9.3%€250.00€173.00n/a19
Sep ’25€216.30
€210.55
-2.7%
7.9%€235.00€173.00n/a20
Aug ’25€211.65
€210.05
-0.8%
8.0%€235.00€173.00n/a20
Jul ’25€203.10
€209.90
+3.3%
8.8%€235.00€162.00n/a20
Jun ’25€204.75
€206.95
+1.1%
8.2%€229.00€162.00n/a19
May ’25€200.90
€205.89
+2.5%
8.2%€229.00€162.00n/a19
Apr ’25€209.18
€201.16
-3.8%
7.6%€228.00€162.00n/a19
Mar ’25€197.41
€197.84
+0.2%
7.4%€220.00€162.00n/a20
Feb ’25€183.59
€192.54
+4.9%
7.5%€215.00€162.00n/a22
Jan ’25€181.77
€193.26
+6.3%
8.0%€220.00€162.00n/a22
Dec ’24€178.15
€193.04
+8.4%
8.2%€220.00€162.00n/a22
Nov ’24€171.29
€192.76
+12.5%
8.2%€220.00€162.00€217.1522
Oct ’24€166.28
€194.59
+17.0%
8.5%€220.00€155.00€211.9521
Sep ’24€174.16
€194.15
+11.5%
8.7%€220.00€155.00€216.3020
Aug ’24€180.01
€194.50
+8.0%
8.7%€220.00€155.00€211.6520
Jul ’24€172.55
€192.63
+11.6%
8.4%€220.00€155.00€203.1019
Jun ’24€165.43
€191.94
+16.0%
8.2%€215.00€155.00€204.7518
May ’24€178.47
€191.46
+7.3%
7.8%€215.00€155.00€200.9020
Apr ’24€166.43
€186.01
+11.8%
8.0%€210.00€155.00€209.1819
Mar ’24€164.00
€187.69
+14.4%
8.4%€210.00€155.00€197.4119
Feb ’24€168.35
€187.06
+11.1%
8.7%€210.00€155.00€183.5919
Jan ’24€169.73
€184.66
+8.8%
9.5%€210.00€150.00€181.7720
Dec ’23€177.90
€179.98
+1.2%
9.0%€205.00€150.00€178.1519
Nov ’23n/a
€179.98
0%
9.0%€205.00€150.00€171.2919

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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