Is ALC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6
Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ALC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: ALC (CHF76.02) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF109.96)
Significantly Below Fair Value: ALC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALC?
Key metric: As ALC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALC. This is calculated by dividing ALC's market cap by their current
earnings.
What is ALC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio
36.3x
Earnings
US$1.16b
Market Cap
US$42.10b
ALC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.3x) compared to the European Medical Equipment industry average (29.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ALC's PE Ratio
compared to its
Fair PE Ratio?
This is the expected PE Ratio taking into
account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins
and other risk factors.
ALC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio
36.3x
Fair PE Ratio
36x
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
The above table shows the analyst ALC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date
Share Price
Average 1Y Price Target
Dispersion
High
Low
1Y Actual price
Analysts
Current
CHF 76.02
CHF 87.03
+14.5%
10.4%
CHF 100.58
CHF 63.65
n/a
16
Dec ’25
CHF 78.38
CHF 87.65
+11.8%
10.5%
CHF 100.95
CHF 63.88
n/a
16
Nov ’25
CHF 80.20
CHF 88.71
+10.6%
10.2%
CHF 100.60
CHF 63.32
n/a
15
Oct ’25
CHF 84.16
CHF 86.17
+2.4%
11.7%
CHF 99.98
CHF 61.59
n/a
15
Sep ’25
CHF 82.30
CHF 84.06
+2.1%
10.2%
CHF 99.52
CHF 61.83
n/a
15
Aug ’25
CHF 83.38
CHF 83.99
+0.7%
12.0%
CHF 103.12
CHF 60.26
n/a
15
Jul ’25
CHF 80.18
CHF 84.16
+5.0%
10.3%
CHF 90.96
CHF 61.45
n/a
15
Jun ’25
CHF 80.34
CHF 84.27
+4.9%
10.2%
CHF 91.35
CHF 61.72
n/a
16
May ’25
CHF 71.10
CHF 84.69
+19.1%
9.5%
CHF 92.19
CHF 64.16
n/a
16
Apr ’25
CHF 74.74
CHF 84.13
+12.6%
10.0%
CHF 91.61
CHF 63.76
n/a
16
Mar ’25
CHF 76.12
CHF 80.16
+5.3%
11.4%
CHF 90.46
CHF 59.22
n/a
16
Feb ’25
CHF 64.98
CHF 78.50
+20.8%
9.9%
CHF 90.11
CHF 57.44
n/a
15
Jan ’25
CHF 65.64
CHF 76.88
+17.1%
11.3%
CHF 89.97
CHF 56.26
n/a
12
Dec ’24
CHF 65.72
CHF 79.41
+20.8%
9.1%
CHF 91.06
CHF 64.51
CHF 78.38
14
Nov ’24
CHF 65.58
CHF 83.82
+27.8%
8.4%
CHF 93.25
CHF 65.97
CHF 80.20
13
Oct ’24
CHF 70.94
CHF 86.99
+22.6%
6.0%
CHF 94.76
CHF 77.68
CHF 84.16
12
Sep ’24
CHF 73.20
CHF 84.38
+15.3%
6.2%
CHF 91.82
CHF 73.49
CHF 82.30
13
Aug ’24
CHF 74.04
CHF 81.56
+10.2%
7.9%
CHF 90.04
CHF 68.76
CHF 83.38
12
Jul ’24
CHF 74.10
CHF 83.18
+12.2%
6.9%
CHF 90.13
CHF 71.87
CHF 80.18
12
Jun ’24
CHF 71.30
CHF 83.18
+16.7%
6.9%
CHF 90.13
CHF 71.87
CHF 80.34
12
May ’24
CHF 64.82
CHF 78.12
+20.5%
9.1%
CHF 86.47
CHF 62.61
CHF 71.10
12
Apr ’24
CHF 64.70
CHF 78.86
+21.9%
9.3%
CHF 88.21
CHF 63.87
CHF 74.74
11
Mar ’24
CHF 63.54
CHF 79.56
+25.2%
8.9%
CHF 88.11
CHF 63.88
CHF 76.12
11
Feb ’24
CHF 68.76
CHF 76.95
+11.9%
11.2%
CHF 85.39
CHF 58.57
CHF 64.98
11
Jan ’24
CHF 63.18
CHF 76.01
+20.3%
11.2%
CHF 84.90
CHF 58.94
CHF 65.64
10
Dec ’23
CHF 65.48
CHF 79.53
+21.5%
9.4%
CHF 87.44
CHF 60.70
CHF 65.72
8
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data
Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis
2024/12/22 01:33
End of Day Share Price
2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings
2024/09/30
Annual Earnings
2023/12/31
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Alcon Inc. is covered by 63 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.