Danone Valuation

Is BSN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BSN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BSN (€61.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€93.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BSN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BSN?

Key metric: As BSN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BSN. This is calculated by dividing BSN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BSN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio42x
Earnings€1.00b
Market Cap€42.13b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BSN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BSN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.4x
SO Smart Organic AD
18.5xn/aлв231.4m
HSY Hershey
19.8x2.7%US$35.5b
GIS General Mills
15.2x3.6%US$36.4b
KHC Kraft Heinz
28.2x28.4%US$38.7b
BSN Danone
42x18.4%€42.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42x) compared to the peer average (20.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BSN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BSN 42.0xIndustry Avg. 13.4xNo. of Companies19PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BSN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BSN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio42x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BSN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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