adidas AG

BUL:ADS Stock Report

Market Cap: €27.5b

adidas Valuation

Is ADS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of ADS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: ADS (€149.45) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (€180.25)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: ADS is trading below future cash flow value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADS?

Key metric: As ADS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ADS. This is calculated by dividing ADS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ADS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.7x
Earnings€1.21b
Market Cap€27.51b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average44.2x
TPR Tapestry
59.6x20.17%US$31.1b
2020 ANTA Sports Products
13.9x6.66%HK$235.2b
RL Ralph Lauren
24.4x7.69%US$22.3b
500114 Titan
78.9x19.56%₹3.8t
ADS adidas
22.7x21.16%€27.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x) compared to the peer average (44.2x).


Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ADS 22.7xIndustry Avg. 18.0xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ADS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€222.18
0%
14.73%€278.00€160.00n/a28
Feb ’27€149.45
€224.22
+50.03%
15.06%€278.00€160.00n/a29
Jan ’27n/a
€223.57
0%
14.82%€278.00€135.00n/a27
Dec ’26n/a
€229.48
0%
13.26%€280.00€174.00n/a28
Nov ’26n/a
€234.05
0%
12.37%€280.00€183.00n/a28
Oct ’26n/a
€235.42
0%
12.10%€280.00€182.00n/a29
Sep ’26n/a
€242.49
0%
11.17%€280.00€182.00n/a30
Aug ’26n/a
€245.05
0%
10.88%€280.00€182.00n/a31
Jul ’26n/a
€253.18
0%
11.69%€300.00€165.00n/a32
Jun ’26n/a
€253.21
0%
11.77%€300.00€165.00n/a32
May ’26n/a
€256.71
0%
10.17%€300.00€181.00n/a32
Apr ’26n/a
€263.96
0%
10.13%€300.00€180.00n/a30
Mar ’26n/a
€262.26
0%
12.36%€300.00€160.00n/a29
Feb ’26n/a
€261.26
0%
12.34%€300.00€160.00€149.4529
Jan ’26n/a
€249.95
0%
12.11%€285.00€160.00n/a28
Dec ’25n/a
€249.73
0%
12.24%€285.00€160.00n/a28
Nov ’25n/a
€249.73
0%
12.24%€285.00€160.00n/a28
Oct ’25n/a
€241.33
0%
14.91%€300.00€160.00n/a29
Sep ’25n/a
€237.77
0%
15.14%€300.00€160.00n/a28
Aug ’25n/a
€235.65
0%
15.74%€300.00€160.00n/a28
Jul ’25n/a
€224.08
0%
13.49%€264.00€150.00n/a28
Jun ’25n/a
€223.65
0%
13.51%€276.00€150.00n/a28
May ’25n/a
€222.86
0%
13.54%€276.00€150.00n/a28
Apr ’25n/a
€196.86
0%
15.58%€230.00€95.00n/a28
Mar ’25n/a
€184.94
0%
16.05%€227.00€95.00n/a29
Feb ’25n/a
€186.32
0%
16.24%€230.00€95.00n/a29
€215.55
Fair Value
30.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
28
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/17 07:06
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/30 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

adidas AG is covered by 68 analysts. 26 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Knut WollerBaader Helvea Equity Research
Volker BosseBaader Helvea Equity Research
Jonathan KompBaird