UCB Valuation

Is UCB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UCB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UCB (€120.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€260.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UCB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UCB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

UCB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA19.7x
PEG Ratio2.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UCB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UCB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average68.9x
TUB Financière de Tubize
48.2xn/a€4.2b
4578 Otsuka Holdings
25.2x5.2%JP¥3.5t
RPRX Royalty Pharma
11.3x6.3%US$17.2b
SDZ Sandoz Group
191.1x29.5%CHF13.3b
UCB UCB
66.6x26.3%€22.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UCB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (66.6x) compared to the peer average (68.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UCB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UCB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (66.6x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (24.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UCB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UCB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio66.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UCB's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UCB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€120.45
€125.49
+4.2%
16.3%€164.00€70.00n/a19
Apr ’25€114.40
€117.81
+3.0%
17.9%€164.00€70.00n/a19
Mar ’25€108.55
€105.22
-3.1%
19.7%€159.00€70.00n/a19
Feb ’25€86.86
€101.64
+17.0%
18.7%€159.00€70.00n/a19
Jan ’25€78.90
€98.69
+25.1%
20.3%€159.00€70.00n/a19
Dec ’24€71.48
€102.66
+43.6%
18.2%€159.00€70.00n/a20
Nov ’24€68.40
€103.51
+51.3%
18.5%€161.00€74.00n/a20
Oct ’24€77.54
€104.38
+34.6%
17.6%€161.00€74.00n/a20
Sep ’24€83.06
€102.05
+22.9%
19.1%€161.00€74.00n/a21
Aug ’24€81.82
€102.02
+24.7%
18.6%€158.24€74.00n/a21
Jul ’24€81.20
€100.75
+24.1%
20.2%€158.07€68.00n/a19
Jun ’24€80.82
€101.15
+25.2%
20.5%€157.69€68.00n/a18
May ’24€84.42
€99.00
+17.3%
18.7%€136.00€68.00€124.5517
Apr ’24€82.44
€96.38
+16.9%
21.8%€136.00€51.90€114.4018
Mar ’24€80.54
€95.94
+19.1%
20.7%€136.00€51.90€108.5519
Feb ’24€73.80
€98.68
+33.7%
20.7%€136.00€51.90€86.8619
Jan ’24€73.56
€100.14
+36.1%
20.1%€139.00€51.90€78.9021
Dec ’23€71.74
€99.57
+38.8%
19.3%€139.00€51.90€71.4821
Nov ’23€75.62
€100.76
+33.2%
20.8%€151.00€51.90€68.4021
Oct ’23€71.12
€101.23
+42.3%
21.0%€151.00€51.90€77.5421
Sep ’23€69.70
€102.94
+47.7%
19.4%€151.00€59.70€83.0621
Aug ’23€74.18
€102.71
+38.5%
18.8%€151.00€59.70€81.8222
Jul ’23€82.60
€109.40
+32.4%
18.6%€151.00€59.70€81.2022
Jun ’23€81.98
€117.23
+43.0%
14.0%€151.00€90.00€80.8222
May ’23€108.40
€120.00
+10.7%
13.1%€155.00€95.00€84.4221

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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