argenx Valuation

Is ARGX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ARGX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ARGX (€564.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€910.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ARGX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ARGX?

Key metric: As ARGX is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ARGX. This is calculated by dividing ARGX's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ARGX's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio18.8x
SalesUS$1.91b
Market CapUS$35.15b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ARGX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ARGX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.3x
UCB UCB
6.1x11.7%€32.2b
MDXH MDxHealth
1.4x15.5%€82.4m
ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals
15.3x22.4%US$30.2b
BGNE BeiGene
6.4x19.5%US$19.9b
ARGX argenx
18.8x25.2%€33.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ARGX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (18.8x) compared to the peer average (7.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ARGX's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Biotechs Industry?

38 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ARGX 18.8xIndustry Avg. 7.9xNo. of Companies38PS0816243240+
38 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ARGX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (18.8x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (7.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ARGX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ARGX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio18.8x
Fair PS Ratio6.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ARGX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (18.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ARGX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€564.80
€578.70
+2.5%
22.0%€721.00€155.00n/a16
Nov ’25€551.60
€536.86
-2.7%
21.4%€664.00€155.00n/a15
Oct ’25€492.40
€510.90
+3.8%
20.1%€597.00€155.00n/a15
Sep ’25€468.10
€507.12
+8.3%
19.9%€597.00€155.00n/a15
Aug ’25€478.70
€486.74
+1.7%
21.2%€632.00€155.00n/a16
Jul ’25€403.50
€457.05
+13.3%
22.1%€632.00€155.00n/a16
Jun ’25€340.70
€436.52
+28.1%
22.8%€632.00€155.00n/a15
May ’25€350.80
€436.24
+24.4%
22.6%€632.00€165.00n/a15
Apr ’25€366.10
€436.31
+19.2%
22.6%€632.00€165.00n/a15
Mar ’25€359.30
€437.11
+21.7%
20.4%€632.00€223.00n/a15
Feb ’25€350.90
€445.40
+26.9%
21.7%€632.00€223.00n/a16
Jan ’25€343.50
€447.81
+30.4%
21.3%€621.00€223.00n/a15
Dec ’24€417.30
€517.01
+23.9%
17.3%€621.00€223.00n/a15
Nov ’24€464.20
€538.95
+16.1%
17.2%€619.00€223.00€551.6014
Oct ’24€460.60
€527.38
+14.5%
17.9%€619.00€223.00€492.4013
Sep ’24€478.20
€514.66
+7.6%
18.5%€619.00€223.00€468.1012
Aug ’24€462.30
€497.85
+7.7%
18.6%€600.00€223.00€478.7012
Jul ’24€355.40
€434.03
+22.1%
18.5%€564.00€223.00€403.5011
Jun ’24€365.70
€446.44
+22.1%
13.7%€564.00€320.00€340.7010
May ’24€348.70
€441.63
+26.6%
12.4%€500.00€320.00€350.808
Apr ’24€340.70
€441.63
+29.6%
12.4%€500.00€320.00€366.108
Mar ’24€348.40
€448.98
+28.9%
11.6%€500.00€320.00€359.309
Feb ’24€344.90
€447.63
+29.8%
11.7%€500.00€320.00€350.909
Jan ’24€348.30
€437.86
+25.7%
10.3%€480.00€320.00€343.509
Dec ’23€387.00
€426.97
+10.3%
10.9%€480.00€320.00€417.309
Nov ’23€393.30
€412.52
+4.9%
12.3%€479.70€320.00€464.209

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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