Kinepolis Group Valuation

Is KIN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KIN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KIN (€37.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€66.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KIN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KIN?

Key metric: As KIN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KIN. This is calculated by dividing KIN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KIN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.6x
Earnings€35.41m
Market Cap€1.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KIN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KIN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.5x
TNET Telenet Group Holding
12x14.1%€2.3b
CNMA Nusantara Sejahtera Raya
18.1x36.7%Rp15.0t
600576 Zhejiang Sunriver Culture TourismLtd
48.2xn/aCN¥6.3b
532163 Saregama India
47.6x23.5%₹89.4b
KIN Kinepolis Group
28.6x27.8%€1.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KIN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.6x) compared to the peer average (37.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KIN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Entertainment Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KIN 28.6xIndustry Avg. 12.8xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KIN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.6x) compared to the European Entertainment industry average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KIN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KIN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.6x
Fair PE Ratio37.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KIN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KIN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€37.90
€54.15
+42.9%
8.0%€60.00€50.00n/a4
Nov ’25€39.35
€54.15
+37.6%
8.0%€60.00€50.00n/a4
Oct ’25€39.50
€54.15
+37.1%
8.0%€60.00€50.00n/a4
Sep ’25€40.70
€54.15
+33.0%
8.0%€60.00€50.00n/a4
Aug ’25€37.00
€57.20
+54.6%
3.6%€60.00€55.00n/a3
Jul ’25€34.10
€57.20
+67.7%
3.6%€60.00€55.00n/a3
Jun ’25€37.30
€57.20
+53.4%
3.6%€60.00€55.00n/a3
May ’25€40.05
€57.20
+42.8%
3.6%€60.00€55.00n/a3
Apr ’25€42.55
€56.40
+32.5%
4.0%€60.00€54.00n/a4
Mar ’25€43.65
€56.40
+29.2%
4.0%€60.00€54.00n/a4
Feb ’25€40.70
€56.08
+37.8%
4.1%€60.00€54.00n/a4
Jan ’25€44.70
€57.83
+29.4%
3.1%€60.00€55.30n/a4
Dec ’24€45.30
€57.83
+27.6%
3.1%€60.00€55.30n/a4
Nov ’24€46.00
€57.83
+25.7%
3.1%€60.00€55.30€39.354
Oct ’24€47.10
€57.33
+21.7%
3.8%€60.00€55.00€39.504
Sep ’24€44.00
€57.33
+30.3%
3.8%€60.00€55.00€40.704
Aug ’24€43.80
€55.10
+25.8%
3.0%€57.00€53.00€37.003
Jul ’24€41.25
€55.10
+33.6%
3.0%€57.00€53.00€34.103
Jun ’24€41.80
€56.00
+34.0%
5.4%€59.00€53.00€37.302
May ’24€45.90
€56.00
+22.0%
5.4%€59.00€53.00€40.052
Apr ’24€47.34
€56.00
+18.3%
5.4%€59.00€53.00€42.552
Mar ’24€42.00
€56.00
+33.3%
5.4%€59.00€53.00€43.652
Feb ’24€39.56
€55.00
+39.0%
5.5%€58.00€52.00€40.702
Jan ’24€38.78
€60.83
+56.9%
15.5%€73.50€51.00€44.703
Dec ’23€36.60
€64.17
+75.3%
14.9%€73.50€51.00€45.303
Nov ’23€38.68
€68.83
+78.0%
5.1%€73.50€65.00€46.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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