Umicore Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Umicore's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -37.7%, while the Chemicals industry saw earnings growing at 0.4% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 8.7% per year. Umicore's return on equity is 17.1%, and it has net margins of 2%.
Key information
-37.66%
Earnings growth rate
-37.65%
EPS growth rate
| Chemicals Industry Growth | 23.20% |
| Revenue growth rate | -8.73% |
| Return on equity | 17.15% |
| Net Margin | 1.98% |
| Next Earnings Update | 31 Jul 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 23
UMI: Recycling Upside And Leadership Change Will Shape Balanced Forward Expectations
The analyst fair value estimate for Umicore has edged up from €23.52 to €24.51. This change reflects a mix of higher price targets from some firms and more cautious holds from others, as analysts weigh updated views on recycling prospects and near-term metal price risks.Narrative Update • Jun 07
UMI: Recycling Execution And Leadership Transition Will Shape Balanced Future Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their price expectations for Umicore, with the updated fair value estimate moving from €18.83 to €23.52. This reflects revised views on the recycling division and adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, margins, revenue and future P/E multiples.
Narrative Update • May 23
UMI: Recycling Execution And Margin Gains Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update Analysts have lifted Umicore's fair value estimate from €24.00 to about €31.62, pointing to increased confidence in the recycling division. This has been used to support higher price targets, such as the recent moves to €33 and other upward revisions across the Street.Narrative Update • May 06
UMI: Mixed Bank Ratings And Higher Margins Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Umicore from €22.50 to €24.00, citing updated price targets from both positive and negative rating changes, as well as small adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Umicore reflects a mix of views, but there are clear pockets of optimism that help frame the new fair value estimate of €24.00.
Narrative Update • Apr 22
UMI: Execution Risks And Mixed Ratings Signal Caution Around Future Repricing
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Umicore from €10.00 to €14.00, reflecting updated views on discount rates, long term revenue and margin forecasts, and future P/E assumptions following mixed recent rating and price target changes. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Umicore has been mixed, with price target changes and rating moves pulling investor attention in different directions.Narrative Update • Apr 08
UMI: Mixed Bank Ratings And Margin Outlook Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their view on Umicore with a revised price target of €21.60. This reflects updated expectations on discount rates, revenue contraction and profit margins, which are also echoed in recent rating changes from major banks.Narrative Update • Mar 24
UMI: Mixed Rating Shifts Will Shape Future Margin Led Upside Potential
Narrative Update Analysts have nudged the blended fair value estimate for Umicore higher from about €18.03 to €18.83, reflecting updated price targets that factor in recent rating changes, mixed revisions to official targets, a slightly higher discount rate, weaker revenue expectations, improved margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Umicore presents a mixed picture, with some analysts adjusting targets higher and others turning more cautious on the stock's prospects.Narrative Update • Mar 10
UMI: Refined Margin Outlook And Mixed Ratings Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Umicore from about €23.50 to roughly €22.50, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research views on Umicore are mixed, but there are some clear bright spots that more optimistic analysts are focusing on.Narrative Update • Feb 24
UMI: Firmer Margin Outlook And Higher Discount Rate Will Drive Future Upside
Our updated analyst narrative lowers Umicore's fair value estimate from €25.00 to €23.50. This reflects the recent shift in Street price targets around €16 and analyst views that softer revenue expectations, a slightly higher discount rate, and a modestly lower future P/E are partly offset by firmer profit margin assumptions.Narrative Update • Feb 09
UMI: Higher Discount Rate And P/E Assumptions Will Shape Future Risk Reward Balance
Narrative update Analysts have nudged their price target on Umicore higher, with one recent update moving from €13.60 to €16, citing refined assumptions on discount rate, revenue trends and future P/E as key inputs to their revised view. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a slightly more constructive view on Umicore, with the price target revised to €16 from €13.60 while the rating remains at Hold.Analysis Article • Feb 08
Umicore SA's (EBR:UMI) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 52% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Umicore fair value estimate is €29.83 Umicore's €19.68 share...Narrative Update • Jan 26
UMI: Higher Margin Assumptions Will Pressure Future Risk Reward Balance
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Umicore from €14.79 to €18.03, reflecting recent price target increases, such as the move to €16 cited in Street research, and updated assumptions around discount rate, profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the recent lift in price targets to €16 as support for the higher fair value range, suggesting current assumptions on discount rate and P/E are seen as reasonable.Narrative Update • Jan 12
UMI: Refined Discount Assumptions And Profitability Outlook Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Umicore from €22.59 to €25.00, citing recent price target increases, such as the move to €16.00 from €13.60, that reflect updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research signals a more constructive tone on Umicore, with bullish analysts refining their assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins and P/E levels to justify higher valuation ranges.Analysis Article • Dec 26
Umicore SA (EBR:UMI) Stock Catapults 25% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry
Umicore SA ( EBR:UMI ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month...Narrative Update • Dec 14
UMI: Rising Profit Outlook And Lower Risk Are Expected To Drive Upside
Analysts have raised their price target for Umicore from €19.42 to €22.59, reflecting adjusted expectations for future profitability and valuation multiples, even as revenue growth assumptions have been revised slightly lower. Valuation Changes Fair Value has risen moderately from €19.42 to €22.59, implying a higher intrinsic valuation for Umicore shares.Analysis Article • Dec 13
The Trend Of High Returns At Umicore (EBR:UMI) Has Us Very Interested
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to...Narrative Update • Nov 28
UMI: Sector Headwinds And Stable Margins Will Influence Future Outlook
Analysts have revised their price target for Umicore, keeping it at €14.79. They cite ongoing sector headwinds and conservative forecasts for growth and profitability.Narrative Update • Nov 12
UMI: Margin Pressures From Input Costs Will Likely Challenge Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Umicore from €15.00 to €16.20, citing a more favorable outlook for the shares following updated assessments. Analyst Commentary Following the recent price target adjustment, analysts have provided further insights on Umicore's prospects.Narrative Update • Oct 29
Execution Challenges And Competitive Pressures Will Weigh On Future Profit Prospects
The analyst price target for Umicore has increased from €14.42 to approximately €14.79. This reflects analysts' expectations of sustained growth and profitability following recent upward revisions by major research firms.Narrative Update • Oct 15
Cost-saving Measures And IONWAY Investment Will Secure Future Success
Umicore’s analyst price target has been revised upward from EUR 14.02 to EUR 14.42. This reflects updated analyst expectations following continued modest adjustments in discount rates and growth forecasts.Analysis Article • Oct 12
Umicore SA's (EBR:UMI) 25% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Umicore SA ( EBR:UMI ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking...Narrative Update • Aug 27
Cost-saving Measures And IONWAY Investment Will Secure Future Success
Despite cautious optimism from analysts citing improving core segment outlooks and expectations of stronger earnings growth, the consensus analyst price target for Umicore remained unchanged at €14.02. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite improving outlook in Umicore's core business segments, prompting upward adjustments in price targets.Analysis Article • Aug 25
Investors Shouldn't Overlook Umicore's (EBR:UMI) Impressive Returns On Capital
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Analysis Article • Aug 09
Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good Umicore's (EBR:UMI) Earnings Are
ENXTBR:UMI 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Umicore's Fair Values from the Community and select yours The...Analysis Article • Jul 24
Revenues Not Telling The Story For Umicore SA (EBR:UMI) After Shares Rise 28%
Umicore SA ( EBR:UMI ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone...
New Narrative • Apr 27
Cost-saving Measures And IONWAY Investment Will Secure Future Success
Strategic cost-saving measures and operational efficiency focus aim to improve net margins and enhance long-term earnings despite near-term cash flow impacts.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Umicore makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 19,388 | 385 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 17,753 | 257 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 16,115 | 129 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 15,492 | -676 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 14,869 | -1,480 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 15,292 | -1,395 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 15,715 | -1,310 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 16,998 | -463 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 18,280 | 385 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 20,426 | 435 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 22,571 | 484 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 24,010 | 527 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 25,449 | 570 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 24,863 | 549 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 24,278 | 528 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 24,172 | 573 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 24,066 | 619 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 23,746 | 529 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 23,427 | 440 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 22,072 | 285 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 20,716 | 131 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 20,298 | 180 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 19,880 | 230 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 18,687 | 259 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 17,494 | 288 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 16,223 | 296 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 14,953 | 304 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 14,339 | 311 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 13,726 | 317 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 12,895 | 291 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 12,063 | 265 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 12,010 | 240 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 11,957 | 215 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 11,913 | 204 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 11,870 | 194 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 11,157 | 187 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 10,444 | 181 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 9,957 | 175 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 9,471 | 168 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 9,584 | 161 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 9,698 | 153 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 9,957 | 175 | 0 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: UMI has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: UMI became profitable in the past.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: UMI's earnings have declined by 37.7% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: UMI has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: UMI has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Chemicals industry (-1%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: UMI's Return on Equity (17.1%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/05 00:40 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/03 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Umicore SA is covered by 31 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Rupesh Madlani | Barclays |
| James Stewart | Barclays |
| Sebastian Bray | Berenberg |