Stock Analysis

Agfa-Gevaert (EBR:AGFB investor three-year losses grow to 68% as the stock sheds €30m this past week

ENXTBR:AGFB
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If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term Agfa-Gevaert NV (EBR:AGFB) shareholders. So they might be feeling emotional about the 68% share price collapse, in that time. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 52% lower in that time. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 35% in the last 90 days.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Agfa-Gevaert isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Agfa-Gevaert

Agfa-Gevaert wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over three years, Agfa-Gevaert grew revenue at 2.4% per year. Given it's losing money in pursuit of growth, we are not really impressed with that. This uninspiring revenue growth has no doubt helped send the share price lower; it dropped 19% during the period. It can be well worth keeping an eye on growth stocks that disappoint the market, because sometimes they re-accelerate. Keep in mind it isn't unusual for good businesses to have a tough time or a couple of uninspiring years.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTBR:AGFB Earnings and Revenue Growth December 16th 2023

If you are thinking of buying or selling Agfa-Gevaert stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Agfa-Gevaert had a tough year, with a total loss of 52%, against a market gain of about 5.6%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 10% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Agfa-Gevaert that you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Belgian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Agfa-Gevaert is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.