Assessing AB InBev's (ENXTBR:ABI) Valuation After Recent Steady Share Gains
Reviewed by Simply Wall St
Anheuser-Busch InBev (ENXTBR:ABI) shares have shown steady movement over the past month, quietly gaining 3%. This stands out to investors paying attention to consumer staples in Europe. The company’s long-term returns offer a useful context for evaluating recent trends.
See our latest analysis for Anheuser-Busch InBev.
After a solid year-to-date share price return of nearly 12%, Anheuser-Busch InBev is drawing renewed interest as momentum builds. The company’s 1-year total shareholder return of almost 8% further reinforces the impression of steady growth potential, especially as broader market sentiment has improved.
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With shares lingering below analyst targets and recent gains outpacing long-term returns, the big question is whether Anheuser-Busch InBev remains undervalued or if the market has now fully priced in its growth prospects.
Most Popular Narrative: 20.5% Undervalued
Anheuser-Busch InBev’s most widely followed valuation perspective places the stock’s fair value well above the last closing price, hinting at meaningful upside. Despite solid recent gains, the current market is leaving considerable room for a potential re-rating based on the dominant expectations.
Ongoing operational optimization, including disciplined resource allocation, productivity initiatives, supply chain efficiencies, and deleveraging (net debt/EBITDA improving YoY), is supporting margin expansion (EBITDA margin up 116bps in Q2) and generating increased free cash flow, providing more flexibility for shareholder returns and future investments, benefiting net earnings over the longer term.
What’s giving analysts so much confidence? Discover the secret financial levers and key projections behind this calculation, especially around future earnings strength and expanding margins. This narrative is packed with bold assumptions that could change how you see ABI’s prospects. Dive in to see which forecasts are making bulls so optimistic and why the consensus fair value is so far above today’s market price.
Result: Fair Value of $68.58 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, ongoing volume declines in key emerging markets and persistently high leverage could challenge Anheuser-Busch InBev’s positive momentum if conditions deteriorate further.
Find out about the key risks to this Anheuser-Busch InBev narrative.
Build Your Own Anheuser-Busch InBev Narrative
If you have a different view or want to test your own ideas with the numbers, you can build your own perspective in just minutes. Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Anheuser-Busch InBev research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ENXTBR:ABI
Anheuser-Busch InBev
Produces, distributes, exports, markets, and sells beer in North America, Middle Americas, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
Undervalued with mediocre balance sheet.
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