Banco Santander, S.A.

ENXTBR:SANTA Stock Report

Market Cap: €57.7b

Banco Santander Valuation

Is SANTA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SANTA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SANTA (€3.58) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€7.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SANTA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SANTA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SANTA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SANTA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SANTA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.8x
KBC KBC Group
8.5x-2.5%€28.3b
017250539 BNP Paribas Fortis
6.6xn/a€20.6b
009789111 BGL BNP Paribas
4.3xn/a€2.5b
KBCA KBC Ancora
11.7x8.8%€3.5b
SANTA Banco Santander
6.1x4.3%€57.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SANTA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the peer average (9.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SANTA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SANTA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SANTA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SANTA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.1x
Fair PE Ratio8.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SANTA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SANTA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€4.84
0%
10.0%€5.70€3.80n/a23
Apr ’25n/a
€4.84
0%
10.0%€5.70€3.80n/a23
Mar ’25n/a
€4.84
0%
10.0%€5.70€3.80n/a23
Feb ’25n/a
€4.84
0%
10.0%€5.70€3.80n/a23
Jan ’25n/a
€4.84
0%
10.0%€5.70€3.80n/a23
Dec ’24n/a
€4.84
0%
10.0%€5.70€3.80n/a23
Nov ’24n/a
€4.84
0%
10.0%€5.70€3.80n/a23
Oct ’24€3.58
€4.84
+35.1%
10.0%€5.70€3.80n/a23
Sep ’24€3.51
€4.84
+37.8%
9.8%€5.70€3.80n/a24
Aug ’24€3.51
€4.80
+36.8%
10.2%€5.70€3.80n/a24
Jul ’24€3.37
€4.63
+37.2%
10.0%€5.54€3.80n/a21
Jun ’24€3.14
€4.58
+45.7%
12.4%€5.54€3.01n/a20
May ’24€3.20
€4.64
+45.0%
12.9%€5.60€3.01n/a20
Apr ’24€3.46
€4.63
+33.8%
12.0%€5.54€3.01n/a20
Mar ’24€3.71
€4.47
+20.6%
13.2%€5.82€3.01n/a20
Feb ’24€3.28
€4.05
+23.6%
14.6%€5.20€3.01n/a20
Jan ’24€2.87
€4.03
+40.5%
15.1%€5.10€3.01n/a19
Dec ’23€2.85
€3.99
+39.9%
16.0%€5.10€3.01n/a19
Nov ’23€2.62
€3.91
+48.9%
20.2%€5.10€1.65n/a19
Oct ’23€2.38
€3.92
+64.9%
20.0%€5.30€1.65€3.5820
Sep ’23€2.37
€3.91
+64.6%
20.9%€5.30€1.65€3.5120
Aug ’23€2.41
€3.92
+63.1%
20.8%€5.30€1.65€3.5120
Jul ’23€2.65
€3.95
+48.9%
18.4%€5.30€2.28€3.3719
Jun ’23€3.00
€3.96
+31.9%
14.4%€5.09€3.00€3.1419
May ’23€2.84
€4.04
+42.4%
13.6%€5.09€3.00€3.2021

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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