How does AGL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

AGL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the peer average (13.3x).

How does AGL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Integrated Utilities Industry?

AGL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the Global Integrated Utilities industry average (17.6x).

What is AGL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AGL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x).

What is the Fair Price of AGL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

AGL (A$10.89) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (A$10.17)

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

AGL Energy (CHIA:AGL) - Stock Price, News & Analysis

AGL Stock Overview

Engages in the supply of energy and other essential services to residential, business, and wholesale customers in Australia. More details

AGL fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	3/6
Future Growth	0/6
Past Performance	2/6
Financial Health	4/6
Dividends	5/6

Rewards

Price-To-Earnings ratio (10.3x) is below the Australian market (19.6x)

Became profitable this year

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Risk Analysis

Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 2.3% per year for the next 3 years

Unstable dividend track record

AGL Energy Limited Competitors

TPC Consolidated

ASX:TPC

AU$109.7m

APA Group

ASX:APA

AU$9.2b

Origin Energy

ASX:ORG

AU$18.2b

Qatar Electricity & Water Company Q.P.S.C

DSM:QEWS

ر.ق17.4b

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for AGL Energy
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	AU$10.89
52 Week High	AU$12.20
52 Week Low	AU$7.80
Beta	0.36
11 Month Change	-4.97%
3 Month Change	-9.63%
1 Year Change	5.12%
33 Year Change	107.82%
5 Year Change	-44.83%
Change since IPO	-30.26%

Recent updates

Shareholder Returns

	AGL	AU Integrated Utilities	AU Market
7D	3.1%	-0.003%	-0.07%
1Y	5.1%	7.7%	16.9%

Return vs Industry: AGL underperformed the Australian Integrated Utilities industry which returned 7.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AGL underperformed the Australian Market which returned 16.9% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is AGL's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AGL volatility
AGL Average Weekly Movement	3.0%
Integrated Utilities Industry Average Movement	2.7%
Market Average Movement	8.5%
10% most volatile stocks in AU Market	17.0%
10% least volatile stocks in AU Market	3.4%

Stable Share Price: AGL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.

Volatility Over Time: AGL's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
1837	3,735	Damien Nicks	www.agl.com.au

AGL Energy Limited engages in the supply of energy and other essential services to residential, business, and wholesale customers in Australia. The company operates through three segments: Customer Markets, Integrated Energy, and Investments. It engages in the retail of electricity and gas; retail of broadband, mobile, and voice services; and provision of solar and energy products and services.

AGL Energy Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do AGL Energy's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
AGL fundamental statistics
Market cap	AU$7.30b
Earnings (TTM)	AU$711.00m
Revenue (TTM)	AU$13.58b

10.3x

P/E Ratio

0.5x

P/S Ratio

Is AGL overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
AGL income statement (TTM)
Revenue	AU$13.58b
Cost of Revenue	AU$9.58b
Gross Profit	AU$4.00b
Other Expenses	AU$3.29b
Earnings	AU$711.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	1.06
Gross Margin	29.44%
Net Profit Margin	5.23%
Debt/Equity Ratio	45.7%

How did AGL perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

6.5%

Current Dividend Yield

58%

Payout Ratio

AGL Stock Overview

Rewards

Risk Analysis

AGL Energy Limited Competitors

ASX:TPC

AU$109.7m

ASX:APA

AU$9.2b

ASX:ORG

AU$18.2b

DSM:QEWS

ر.ق17.4b

Price History & Performance

Recent News & Updates

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Final dividend increased to AU$0.35

Final dividend increased to AU$0.35

AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL) agreed to acquire Terrain Solar Pty Ltd and FIRM POWER ASSETS PTY LTD for AUD 250 million.

Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$1.06 (vs AU$1.88 loss in FY 2023)

Recent updates

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Final dividend increased to AU$0.35

Final dividend increased to AU$0.35

AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL) agreed to acquire Terrain Solar Pty Ltd and FIRM POWER ASSETS PTY LTD for AUD 250 million.

Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$1.06 (vs AU$1.88 loss in FY 2023)

AGL Energy Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 14, 2024

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.26 per share at 3.5% yield

First half dividend increased to AU$0.26

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.86 (vs AU$1.60 loss in 1H 2023)

AGL Energy Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 08, 2024

QPM Energy (MGP Upstream) Pty Ltd, QPM Energy (Midstream) Pty Ltd and QPM Energy Markets Pty Ltd Completed the acquisition of the Moranbah Project from AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL) and Arrow Energy Pty Ltd.

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.23 per share at 2.8% yield

New minor risk - Dividend sustainability

New minor risk - Dividend sustainability

Full year 2023 earnings released: AU$1.88 loss per share (vs AU$1.32 profit in FY 2022)

AGL Energy Limited Declares Final Dividend for the Year Ended June 30, 2023, Payable on September 22, 2023

AGL Energy Limited Updates Dividend Policy

Director recently bought AU$66k worth of stock

Director recently bought AU$99k worth of stock

High number of new and inexperienced directors

AGL Energy Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 21, 2023

AGL Energy Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2022, Payable on March 24, 2023

AGL Energy Limited Appoints Gary Brown as CFO

AGL Energy Limited Announces Torrens Island `B' Power Station to Close in 2026

AGL Energy Limited Announces Election of Directors

Mike Cannon-Brookes Redoubles Calls for AGL Shareholders to Vote in New Directors

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$55k worth of stock

Insider recently bought AU$200k worth of stock

AGL Energy Limited Announces CFO Changes, Effective 30 September 2022

Chow Tai Fook Reportedly May Be Still Searching for an Investor for Its Alinta Energy

AGL Energy Limited Declares Final Unfranked Dividend for the Year 2022, Payable on 27 September 2022

AGL Energy Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Aug 19, 2022

AGL Energy Limited Announces Loy Yang A Unit 2 - Update on Expected Return to Service

Less than half of directors are independent

Cannon-Brookes Demands AGL Board Seats

Wilson Asset Management Opposes AGL Demerger

Hesta Opposes AGL Demerger

Mike Cannon-Brookes Provides Information to the Shareholders

Mike Cannon-Brookes' Provides Information to the Shareholders

AGL Responds to Substantial Holding Notice Lodged by Galipea Partnership

Macquarie Capital Lines Up Investors for Demerged Accel Energy

Less than half of directors are independent

AGL Energy Limited Appoints Vanessa Sullivan as Non-Executive Director, Effective 1 March 2022

The consortium of Brookfield Asset Management Inc. (TSX:BAM.A) and Grok Ventures Pty. Ltd. cancelled the acquisition of AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL).

Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$142k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.16 per share

First half 2022 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

AGL Energy Limited Announces Dividend for the Period of Six Months Ended December 31, 2021, Payable on March 30, 2022

Independent Non-Executive Director John Stanhope has left the company

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.34 per share

Full year 2021 earnings released: AU$3.30 loss per share (vs AU$1.58 profit in FY 2020)

AGL Energy Limited Provides Guidance for the Financial Year of 2022

AGL Energy Limited Reaffirms Earnings Guidance for the Financial Year 2021; Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2022

AGL Energy Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2020, Payable on March 26, 2021

AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL) entered into an agreement to acquire Solgen Energy Pty Ltd from Anchorage Capital Partners and others.

AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL) entered into an agreement to acquire Epho Commercial Solar Power from Anchorage Capital Partners.

First half 2021 earnings released: AU$3.67 loss per share (vs AU$0.50 profit in 1H 2020)

Revenue misses expectations