Despite an already strong run, Fluence Corporation Limited (ASX:FLC) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 20% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies operating in Australia's Water Utilities industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.1x, you may still consider Fluence as an attractive investment with its 0.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
View our latest analysis for Fluence
How Has Fluence Performed Recently?
Fluence could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Fluence.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Fluence's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.2% last year. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 53% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 39% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 2.6% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it odd that Fluence is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From Fluence's P/S?
Fluence's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
A look at Fluence's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Fluence (including 1 which is significant).
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.