Stock Analysis

Delorean's (ASX:DEL) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

ASX:DEL
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When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like Delorean Corporation Limited's (ASX:DEL) stock has recently. We did some digging and found some further encouraging factors that investors will like.

See our latest analysis for Delorean

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:DEL Earnings and Revenue History October 4th 2024

A Closer Look At Delorean's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Delorean recorded an accrual ratio of -0.31. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of AU$6.9m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of AU$4.77m. Notably, Delorean had negative free cash flow last year, so the AU$6.9m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, as we will discuss below, we can see that the company's accrual ratio has been impacted by its tax situation.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Delorean.

An Unusual Tax Situation

In addition to the notable accrual ratio, we can see that Delorean received a tax benefit of AU$1.3m. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! We're sure the company was pleased with its tax benefit. And since it previously lost money, it may well simply indicate the realisation of past tax losses. However, our data indicates that tax benefits can temporarily boost statutory profit in the year it is booked, but subsequently profit may fall back. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth.

Our Take On Delorean's Profit Performance

While Delorean's accrual ratio stands testament to its strong cashflow, and indicates good quality earnings, the fact that it received a tax benefit suggests that this year's profit may not be a great guide to its sustainable profit run-rate. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Delorean's profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. If you'd like to know more about Delorean as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Delorean (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

Our examination of Delorean has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.