Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To APA Group's (ASX:APA) Price

ASX:APA
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APA Group's (ASX:APA) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.4x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Gas Utilities industry in Australia have P/S ratios below 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Our free stock report includes 2 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in APA Group. Read for free now.

See our latest analysis for APA Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:APA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 16th 2025

What Does APA Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for APA Group as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on APA Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as APA Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.2%. Revenue has also lifted 18% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 5.5% per annum over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 3.8% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that APA Group's P/S is higher than its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On APA Group's P/S

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Analysts are forecasting APA Group's revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for APA Group that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.