APA Group

ASX:APA Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$13.7b

APA Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

APA Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 21.2% and 3.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 20% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 27.9% in 3 years.

Key information

21.2%

Earnings growth rate

19.98%

EPS growth rate

Gas Utilities earnings growth6.6%
Revenue growth rate3.1%
Future return on equity27.92%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated19 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Apr 24

APA: Elevated P/E And Rich Interim Distribution Will Constrain Future Returns

APA Group's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly higher from A$8.95 to A$9.03 as analysts refine their assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News The Board has resolved to pay an interim distribution of A$0.275 per security for the half year ended 31 December 2025, compared with A$0.27 per security for the first half 2025 interim distribution (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Apr 09

APA: Elevated P/E And Interim Distribution Structure Will Signal Limited Upside

Analysts have kept their A$8.95 price target for APA Group steady, with only minor adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions underpinning the updated view. What's in the News The Board has resolved to pay an interim distribution of A$0.275 per security for the half year ended 31 December 2025, with payment expected on 18 March 2026 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Mar 25

APA: Future Interim Distribution Mix And Earnings Assumptions Will Support A Measured Outlook

Analysts have kept their A$8.95 price target for APA Group unchanged, pointing to only minor tweaks in assumptions such as a slightly lower discount rate and refined long term P/E and margin inputs. What's in the News The Board has resolved to pay an interim distribution of A$0.275 per security for the half year ended 31 December 2025, compared with A$0.27 per security for the first half 2025 interim distribution, which the company describes as a 1.9% increase (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Mar 10

APA: Future Distributions And Earnings Assumptions Will Support A Measured Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target for APA Group to A$8.95 from A$9.00. This reflects slightly lower assumed revenue growth and a modestly reduced discount rate, partly offset by a small uplift in projected profit margins and a marginally lower future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update • Feb 23

APA: Future Distributions And Earnings Assumptions Will Support A Measured Outlook

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for APA Group from A$8.72 to A$8.95, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News APA Group announced an estimated interim distribution of A$0.275 per security for the six months ended 31 December 2025, compared with the FY25 interim distribution of A$0.270 per security, described as a 1.9% increase (Key Developments).
Analysis Article • Dec 19

APA Group's (ASX:APA) Dividend Will Be A$0.275

The board of APA Group ( ASX:APA ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of A$0.275 per share on the 18th of March...
Analysis Article • Oct 15

Increases to APA Group's (ASX:APA) CEO Compensation Might Cool off for now

Key Insights APA Group's Annual General Meeting to take place on 22nd of October CEO Adam Watson's total compensation...
Analysis Article • Oct 01

Pinning Down APA Group's (ASX:APA) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

APA Group's ( ASX:APA ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.7x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you...
Narrative Update • Aug 22

New Technology Like Basslink May Increase Capacity, But Regulatory Risks Persist

The upward revision in APA Group’s price target reflects a significant improvement in net profit margin, outweighing a reduced revenue growth outlook, with the consensus fair value increasing to A$8.67. What's in the News APA Infrastructure Trust and APA Investment Trust proposed amendments to their constitutions to insert a new clause 12 in the schedule.
Analysis Article • Jun 12

APA Group (ASX:APA) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
User avatar
New Narrative • Feb 09

New Technology Like Basslink May Increase Capacity, But Regulatory Risks Persist

Investment in technology and strategic acquisitions could drive revenue growth and enhance profitability, with improved asset utilization and successful integration.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:APA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/20283,5523481,1381,3895
6/30/20273,4113081,1031,3495
6/30/20263,2662341,0381,2765
12/31/20253,1971623461,196N/A
9/30/20253,2011313331,240N/A
6/30/20253,204993201,284N/A
3/31/20253,187272511,257N/A
12/31/20243,169-461811,229N/A
9/30/20243,1174661211,193N/A
6/30/20243,064978601,156N/A
3/31/20242,9971,052681,201N/A
12/31/20232,9301,126761,245N/A
9/30/20232,922695511,226N/A
6/30/20232,913263261,206N/A
3/31/20232,8802671111,177N/A
12/31/20222,8472721951,148N/A
9/30/20222,7892513521,173N/A
6/30/20222,7322315081,197N/A
3/31/20222,7131715741,169N/A
12/31/20212,6941126391,140N/A
9/30/20212,650356291,096N/A
6/30/20212,605-426181,051N/A
3/31/20212,588136271,070N/A
12/31/20202,572686361,089N/A
9/30/20202,5811636531,088N/A
6/30/20202,5912596691,088N/A
3/31/20202,5602826291,071N/A
12/31/20192,5293065891,054N/A
9/30/20192,491297N/A1,033N/A
6/30/20192,452288N/A1,012N/A
3/31/20192,444293N/A1,026N/A
12/31/20182,435298N/A1,039N/A
9/30/20182,411282N/A1,035N/A
6/30/20182,387265N/A1,032N/A
3/31/20182,361243N/A975N/A
12/31/20172,336221N/A918N/A
9/30/20172,331229N/A946N/A
6/30/20172,326237N/A974N/A
3/31/20172,275228N/A946N/A
12/31/20162,224220N/A919N/A
9/30/20162,159200N/A890N/A
6/30/20162,094180N/A862N/A
3/31/20161,978186N/A803N/A
12/31/20151,863192N/A744N/A
9/30/20151,708376N/A653N/A
6/30/20151,554560N/A562N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: APA's forecast earnings growth (21.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3.6%).

Earnings vs Market: APA's earnings (21.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (11.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: APA's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: APA's revenue (3.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (6.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: APA's revenue (3.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: APA's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (27.9%)

Discover growth companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/21 13:59
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/21 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

APA Group is covered by 17 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Reinhardt van der WaltBofA Global Research
Andrew ScottCGS International