Silk Logistics Holdings Limited

CHIA:SLH Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$169.6m

Silk Logistics Holdings Valuation

Is SLH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SLH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SLH (A$2.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$3.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SLH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SLH?

Key metric: As SLH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SLH. This is calculated by dividing SLH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SLH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.9x
EarningsAU$7.42m
Market CapAU$169.62m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SLH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SLH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.1x
CLX CTI Logistics
9.5xn/aAU$154.9m
KSC K&S
15.6xn/aAU$494.0m
WWG Wiseway Group
37xn/aAU$20.9m
A2B A2B Australia
2.4xn/aAU$181.3m
SLH Silk Logistics Holdings
22.9x19.6%AU$169.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SLH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the peer average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SLH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Logistics Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SLH 22.9xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies32PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SLH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the Global Logistics industry average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SLH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SLH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.9x
Fair PE Ratio11.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SLH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SLH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$2.08
AU$2.13
+2.5%
0.9%AU$2.14AU$2.10n/a3
Nov ’25AU$1.33
AU$1.92
+44.6%
9.6%AU$2.10AU$1.67n/a3
Oct ’25AU$1.32
AU$1.92
+45.7%
9.6%AU$2.10AU$1.67n/a3
Sep ’25AU$1.43
AU$1.92
+34.5%
9.6%AU$2.10AU$1.67n/a3
Aug ’25AU$1.53
AU$2.03
+32.5%
5.1%AU$2.10AU$1.88n/a3
Jul ’25AU$1.32
AU$2.21
+68.1%
14.7%AU$2.65AU$1.88n/a3
Jun ’25AU$1.36
AU$2.30
+70.0%
10.7%AU$2.65AU$2.10n/a3
May ’25AU$1.55
AU$2.37
+53.4%
8.7%AU$2.65AU$2.16n/a3
Apr ’25AU$1.63
AU$2.37
+45.8%
8.7%AU$2.65AU$2.16n/a3
Mar ’25AU$1.54
AU$2.37
+54.4%
8.7%AU$2.65AU$2.16n/a3
Feb ’25AU$1.85
AU$2.92
+58.1%
4.0%AU$3.00AU$2.75n/a3
Jan ’25AU$1.82
AU$2.92
+60.3%
4.0%AU$3.00AU$2.75n/a3
Dec ’24AU$1.75
AU$2.92
+66.7%
4.0%AU$3.00AU$2.75n/a3
Nov ’24AU$1.72
AU$2.98
+73.4%
6.2%AU$3.20AU$2.75AU$1.333
Oct ’24AU$1.87
AU$2.98
+60.0%
6.2%AU$3.20AU$2.75AU$1.323
Sep ’24AU$1.78
AU$3.35
+88.2%
4.5%AU$3.50AU$3.20AU$1.432
Aug ’24AU$2.03
AU$3.48
+71.2%
0.7%AU$3.50AU$3.45AU$1.532
Jul ’24AU$1.99
AU$3.48
+75.1%
0.7%AU$3.50AU$3.45AU$1.322
Jun ’24AU$2.19
AU$3.65
+66.7%
4.1%AU$3.80AU$3.50AU$1.362
May ’24AU$2.37
AU$3.65
+54.0%
4.1%AU$3.80AU$3.50AU$1.552
Apr ’24AU$2.38
AU$3.65
+53.4%
4.1%AU$3.80AU$3.50AU$1.632
Mar ’24AU$2.53
AU$3.65
+44.3%
4.1%AU$3.80AU$3.50AU$1.542
Feb ’24AU$2.27
AU$3.60
+58.6%
2.8%AU$3.70AU$3.50AU$1.852
Jan ’24n/a
AU$3.60
0%
2.8%AU$3.70AU$3.50AU$1.822
Dec ’23AU$2.20
AU$3.60
+63.6%
2.8%AU$3.70AU$3.50AU$1.752
Nov ’23AU$2.19
AU$3.43
+56.4%
8.0%AU$3.70AU$3.15AU$1.722

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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