Stock Analysis

Traffic Technologies (ASX:TTI) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Traffic Technologies Limited (ASX:TTI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Traffic Technologies

How Much Debt Does Traffic Technologies Carry?

As you can see below, Traffic Technologies had AU$11.5m of debt, at June 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has AU$1.18m in cash leading to net debt of about AU$10.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:TTI Debt to Equity History November 3rd 2023

A Look At Traffic Technologies' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Traffic Technologies had liabilities of AU$25.3m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$4.15m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had AU$1.18m in cash and AU$8.70m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$19.6m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the AU$8.33m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Traffic Technologies would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Traffic Technologies will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Traffic Technologies reported revenue of AU$58m, which is a gain of 8.0%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Traffic Technologies produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost AU$778k at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. It's fair to say the loss of AU$7.9m didn't encourage us either; we'd like to see a profit. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Traffic Technologies (at least 3 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:TTI

Traffic Technologies

Provides traffic solutions in Australia and internationally.

Moderate and slightly overvalued.

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