Stock Analysis

TPG Telecom (ASX:TPG) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of A$0.09

ASX:TPG
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TPG Telecom Limited (ASX:TPG) has announced that it will pay a dividend of A$0.09 per share on the 11th of October. This means the annual payment will be 3.6% of the current stock price, which is lower than the industry average.

View our latest analysis for TPG Telecom

TPG Telecom Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 1,113% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 57%. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to grow rapidly. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 178%, which is unsustainable.

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ASX:TPG Historic Dividend September 2nd 2024

TPG Telecom Is Still Building Its Track Record

The dividend hasn't seen any major cuts in the past, but the company has only been paying a dividend for 4 years, which isn't that long in the grand scheme of things. The annual payment during the last 4 years was A$0.075 in 2020, and the most recent fiscal year payment was A$0.18. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 24% over that duration. We're not overly excited about the relatively short history of dividend payments, however the dividend is growing at a nice rate and we might take a closer look.

Dividend Growth Could Be Constrained

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. TPG Telecom has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 28% per annum. EPS has been growing well, but TPG Telecom has been paying out a massive proportion of its earnings, which can make the dividend tough to maintain.

In Summary

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 3 warning signs for TPG Telecom that investors should take into consideration. Is TPG Telecom not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.