Stock Analysis

Sentiment Still Eluding Swoop Holdings Limited (ASX:SWP)

ASX:SWP
Source: Shutterstock

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Telecom industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1x, Swoop Holdings Limited (ASX:SWP) looks to be giving off some buy signals with its 0.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Swoop Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:SWP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 12th 2025

What Does Swoop Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

The revenue growth achieved at Swoop Holdings over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Swoop Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Swoop Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Swoop Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 16% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 253% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 5.3%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

With this information, we find it odd that Swoop Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What Does Swoop Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Swoop Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Swoop Holdings (2 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:SWP

Swoop Holdings

Operates as fixed wireless, fiber, and wholesale network infrastructure carrier in Australia.

Mediocre balance sheet low.

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