Stock Analysis

Spirit Technology Solutions Ltd's (ASX:ST1) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

ASX:ST1
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Spirit Technology Solutions Ltd's (ASX:ST1) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x may look like a pretty appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Telecom industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for Spirit Technology Solutions

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:ST1 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

What Does Spirit Technology Solutions' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Spirit Technology Solutions over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Spirit Technology Solutions will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Spirit Technology Solutions' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Spirit Technology Solutions' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.1%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 269% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 6.4% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it odd that Spirit Technology Solutions is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Spirit Technology Solutions' P/S?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Spirit Technology Solutions revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Spirit Technology Solutions (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Spirit Technology Solutions' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.