Revenues Tell The Story For Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (ASX:SMN) As Its Stock Soars 32%
Despite an already strong run, Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (ASX:SMN) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 32% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 11% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in Australia's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may consider Structural Monitoring Systems as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Structural Monitoring Systems
What Does Structural Monitoring Systems' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Structural Monitoring Systems' revenue growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to improve, justifying the currently elevated P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Structural Monitoring Systems will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Structural Monitoring Systems would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.8% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 101% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 37% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 25% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Structural Monitoring Systems' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
The large bounce in Structural Monitoring Systems' shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Structural Monitoring Systems' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Structural Monitoring Systems, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:SMN
Structural Monitoring Systems
Designs, develops, manufactures, and sells structural health monitoring systems for the aviation industry in Australia, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Australasia, and Africa.
High growth potential with adequate balance sheet.
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