Rubicon Water Limited

ASX:RWL Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$60.1m

Rubicon Water Valuation

Is RWL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RWL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
AU$0.66
Fair Value
62.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
1
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: RWL (A$0.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$0.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RWL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RWL?

Key metric: As RWL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for RWL. This is calculated by dividing RWL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is RWL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.1x
SalesAU$57.09m
Market CapAU$60.11m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does RWL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for RWL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.7x
SMN Structural Monitoring Systems
1.7x11.1%AU$47.1m
AVA AVA Risk Group
0.9x29.2%AU$28.8m
ELS Elsight
22.8xn/aAU$72.4m
TZL TZ
1.5xn/aAU$17.1m
RWL Rubicon Water
1.1x19.4%AU$60.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RWL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (6.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does RWL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Electronic Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AMO Ambertech
0.2xn/aUS$10.03m
HIL Hills
0.3xn/aUS$7.88m
CLT Cellnet Group
0.09xn/aUS$4.07m
HYD Hydrix
0.4xn/aUS$2.96m
RWL 1.1xIndustry Avg. 1.4xNo. of Companies6PS02.44.87.29.612+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RWL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the Global Electronic industry average (1.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RWL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RWL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ratio1.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: RWL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 1 Analyst
AU$0.46
Fair Value
45.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
1
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/20 21:37
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/10 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Rubicon Water Limited is covered by 1 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
James FerrierWilsons Advisory and Stockbroking Ltd.