Dicker Data Limited

ASX:DDR Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$1.6b

Dicker Data Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Dicker Data is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 7.5% and 12.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 38.4% in 3 years.

Key information

7.5%

Earnings growth rate

7.35%

EPS growth rate

Electronic earnings growth18.5%
Revenue growth rate12.1%
Future return on equity38.40%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated08 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

DDR: Distributor Led Security Expansion And Fully Franked Dividend Will Support Returns

Analysts now keep their A$11.14 price target for Dicker Data unchanged, pointing to relatively stable assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as the basis for holding their valuation line. What's in the News CrowdStrike expanded its Managed Security Service Provider go to market strategy across Japan and Asia Pacific, using Dicker Data and Otsuka Corporation as key distributors to bring the Falcon platform to more small and medium sized businesses through a distributor led aggregation model (Key Developments).

DDR: Stable Outlook And Upcoming Fully Franked Dividend Will Support Returns

Analysts have kept Dicker Data's fair value estimate steady at A$11.14, with only minor tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. This supports an unchanged overall price target view.

DDR: Upcoming Fully Franked Dividend Will Support A Positive Total Return Outlook

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Dicker Data at A$11.14. Only minor adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions have been made, resulting in an unchanged price target.

DDR: Dividend Timing And Refreshed Earnings Assumptions Will Support A Positive Outlook

Analysts have lifted their Dicker Data price target slightly, with fair value moving from A$10.84 to A$11.14 as they refresh assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Dicker Data declared a fully franked final quarterly dividend of A$0.115 per share for the quarter ended 31 December 2025, with a payment date of 19 March 2026 (Key Developments).

DDR: Dividend Timing And Earnings Assumptions Will Shape A Measured Outlook

Analysts have nudged their Dicker Data price target higher to A$10.84 from A$10.52, citing updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as the key drivers of the revised valuation. What's in the News Dicker Data declared a fully franked final quarterly dividend of A$0.115 per share for the quarter ended 31 December 2025, with a payment date of 19 March 2026 (Key Developments).
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Expanding Into Cybersecurity And AI Will Shape A Promising Future

Strategic focus on cybersecurity and AI could drive higher-margin sales and significantly impact future earnings.

Is Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value

Jun 19
Is Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value

With EPS Growth And More, Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) Makes An Interesting Case

Dec 23
With EPS Growth And More, Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) Makes An Interesting Case

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) Presents An Opportunity

Jun 18
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) Presents An Opportunity

Should You Be Adding Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) To Your Watchlist Today?

Mar 07
Should You Be Adding Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) To Your Watchlist Today?

Calculating The Fair Value Of Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR)

Jan 13
Calculating The Fair Value Of Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR)

Does Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Oct 16
Does Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR)

Oct 01
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR)

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:DDR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20284,664114961135
12/31/20274,424105971066
12/31/20264,18097841576
12/31/20252,566869497N/A
9/30/20252,501849598N/A
6/30/20252,436839699N/A
3/31/20252,358818487N/A
12/31/20242,281797276N/A
9/30/20242,261796168N/A
6/30/20242,242805059N/A
3/31/20242,254815365N/A
12/31/20232,266825670N/A
9/30/20232,267792337N/A
6/30/20232,26876-104N/A
3/31/20232,24075-102N/A
12/31/20222,21273-101N/A
9/30/20222,34074-19N/A
6/30/20222,46776817N/A
3/31/20222,475751119N/A
12/31/20212,484741421N/A
9/30/20212,274672844N/A
6/30/20212,063604368N/A
3/31/20212,031592764N/A
12/31/20202,000571159N/A
9/30/20201,95759043N/A
6/30/20201,91560-1126N/A
3/31/20201,83857-519N/A
12/31/20191,76154112N/A
9/30/20191,69447N/A25N/A
6/30/20191,62740N/A38N/A
3/31/20191,56036N/A25N/A
12/31/20181,49332N/A12N/A
9/30/20181,44231N/A2N/A
6/30/20181,39130N/A-8N/A
3/31/20181,38530N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20171,30627N/A41N/A
9/30/20171,26726N/A46N/A
6/30/20171,22826N/A52N/A
3/31/20171,19626N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20161,18526N/A60N/A
9/30/20161,15924N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20161,13523N/A39N/A
3/31/20161,07920N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20151,07720N/A-23N/A
9/30/20151,10010N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20151,02912N/AN/AN/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: DDR's forecast earnings growth (7.5% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: DDR's earnings (7.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (12% per year).

High Growth Earnings: DDR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: DDR's revenue (12.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (6.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: DDR's revenue (12.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: DDR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (38.4%)


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/01 08:43
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Dicker Data Limited is covered by 11 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Aryan NoroziBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Josh KannourakisBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Lindsay BettiolGoldman Sachs