Dicker Data Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Dicker Data is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.7% and 15% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 40.5% in 3 years.

Key information

9.7%

Earnings growth rate

9.6%

EPS growth rate

Electronic earnings growth	18.5%
Revenue growth rate	15.0%
Future return on equity	40.5%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	24 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Is Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value

Jun 19

With EPS Growth And More, Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) Makes An Interesting Case

Dec 23

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) Presents An Opportunity

Jun 18

Insider Buying: The Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR) COO & Executive Director Just Bought AU$69k Worth Of Shares

Mar 11

Results: Dicker Data Limited Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Feb 27

What Percentage Of Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR) Shares Do Insiders Own?

Feb 18

Many Would Be Jealous Of Dicker Data's (ASX:DDR) Returns On Capital

Feb 06

Shareholders of Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) Must Be Delighted With Their 979% Total Return

Jan 25

Dicker Data Limited's (ASX:DDR) Stock Is Going Strong: Have Financials A Role To Play?

Jan 13

Need To Know: Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR) Insiders Have Been Buying Shares

Jan 01

Interviewing David Dicker of Dicker Data (ASX:DDR): $2B Revenue, Business Strategy, and Future Growth Prospects ?

Dec 20

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:DDR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	4,232	106	N/A	88	2
12/31/2026	3,925	102	78	129	7
12/31/2025	3,672	92	101	170	7
12/31/2024	3,381	79	50	43	7
6/30/2024	2,242	80	50	59	N/A
3/31/2024	2,254	81	53	65	N/A
12/31/2023	2,266	82	56	70	N/A
9/30/2023	2,267	79	23	37	N/A
6/30/2023	2,268	76	-10	4	N/A
3/31/2023	2,240	75	-10	2	N/A
12/31/2022	2,212	73	-10	1	N/A
9/30/2022	2,340	74	-1	9	N/A
6/30/2022	2,467	76	8	17	N/A
3/31/2022	2,475	75	11	19	N/A
12/31/2021	2,484	74	14	21	N/A
9/30/2021	2,274	67	28	44	N/A
6/30/2021	2,063	60	43	68	N/A
3/31/2021	2,031	59	27	64	N/A
12/31/2020	2,000	57	11	59	N/A
9/30/2020	1,957	59	0	43	N/A
6/30/2020	1,915	60	-11	26	N/A
3/31/2020	1,838	57	-5	19	N/A
12/31/2019	1,761	54	1	12	N/A
9/30/2019	1,694	47	18	25	N/A
6/30/2019	1,627	40	35	38	N/A
3/31/2019	1,560	36	23	25	N/A
12/31/2018	1,493	32	10	12	N/A
9/30/2018	1,442	31	-1	2	N/A
6/30/2018	1,391	30	-12	-8	N/A
3/31/2018	1,385	30	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2017	1,306	27	N/A	41	N/A
9/30/2017	1,267	26	N/A	46	N/A
6/30/2017	1,228	26	N/A	52	N/A
3/31/2017	1,196	26	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2016	1,185	26	N/A	60	N/A
9/30/2016	1,159	24	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2016	1,135	23	N/A	39	N/A
3/31/2016	1,079	20	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2015	1,077	20	N/A	-23	N/A
9/30/2015	1,100	10	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2015	1,029	12	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2015	983	10	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2014	936	8	N/A	-26	N/A
6/30/2014	662	5	N/A	16	N/A
3/31/2014	562	7	N/A	8	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: DDR's forecast earnings growth (9.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: DDR's earnings (9.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (12.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: DDR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: DDR's revenue (15% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: DDR's revenue (15% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: DDR's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (40.5%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/31 16:49
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Dicker Data Limited is covered by 8 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Aryan Norozi	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Jack Dunn	Citigroup Inc
Chris Gawler	Goldman Sachs

Dicker Data Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 11% to AU$10.89

Price target increased by 8.6% to AU$11.93

Price target increased by 9.0% to AU$10.99

Price target decreased by 7.6% to AU$9.73

Price target decreased to AU$12.52

Price target decreased to AU$13.81

Recent updates

Dicker Data Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Feb 27, 2025

Dividend of AU$0.11 announced

New major risk - Financial position

First half 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Fourth quarter dividend of AU$0.11 announced

Dicker Data Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 30, 2024

COO & Executive Director recently bought AU$181k worth of stock

COO & Executive Director recently bought AU$181k worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

Price target decreased by 11% to AU$10.89

Fourth quarter dividend of AU$0.11 announced

Dicker Data Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 27, 2024

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Price target increased by 8.6% to AU$11.93

Dividend of AU$0.15 announced

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Dicker Data Limited to Report Second Half, 2023 Results on Feb 27, 2024

Chairman & CEO recently sold AU$3.5m worth of stock

Price target increased by 9.0% to AU$10.99

Dicker Data Limited Announces Distribution for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2023, Payable on December 1, 2023

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.21 (vs AU$0.20 in 1H 2022)

Dicker Data Limited Announces Cash Dividend for the Quarter Ended 30 June 2023, Payable on 01 September 2023

Dicker Data Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 30, 2023

Is Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value

Dicker Data Limited Announces Cash Dividend for the One Quarter Ended 31 March 2023, Payable on 01 June 2023

COO & Executive Director recently bought AU$158k worth of stock

Price target decreased by 7.6% to AU$9.73

COO & Executive Director recently bought AU$58k worth of stock

Chief Information Officer recently bought AU$787k worth of stock

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%

Dicker Data Limited Declares Fully Franked Final Dividend for the Financial Year Ended 31 December 2022, Payable on 01 March 2023

Dicker Data Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Feb 27, 2023

With EPS Growth And More, Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) Makes An Interesting Case

Price target decreased to AU$12.52

Less than half of directors are independent

Dicker Data Limited Announces Distribution for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2022, Payable on December 1, 2022

Dicker Data Announces the Resignation of Christopher Aleksov as Alternate Director for Fiona Brown

CFO & Executive Director recently bought AU$50k worth of stock

COO & Executive Director recently bought AU$175k worth of stock

COO & Executive Director recently bought AU$50k worth of stock

Dicker Data Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 50.000001 million.

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.20 (vs AU$0.19 in 1H 2021)

Price target decreased to AU$13.81

Dicker Data Limited Announces Fully Franked Dividend for the Quarter Ended June 30, 2022, Payable on September 1, 2022

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Dicker Data Limited to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 30, 2022

Founder & Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$167k worth of stock

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) Presents An Opportunity

Dicker Data Limited Announces Ordinary Fully Paid Distribution for the Quarter Ended March 31, 2022, Payable on June 1, 2022

COO & Executive Director recently bought AU$63k worth of stock

Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR) completed the acquisition of Security and Information Technology distribution division of Hills Limited for AUD 19.4 million.

Less than half of directors are independent

Dicker Data Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2022

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 15%

Should You Be Adding Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) To Your Watchlist Today?

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR) agreed to acquire Security and Information Technology distribution division of Hills Limited from Hills Limited (ASX:HIL) for AUD 20 million.

Dicker Data Limited Announces Final Dividend for the Financial Year Ended 31 December 2021, Payable on 1 March 2022

Calculating The Fair Value Of Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR)

COO & Executive Director recently sold AU$367k worth of stock

COO & Executive Director recently sold AU$367k worth of stock

COO & Executive Director recently sold AU$145k worth of stock

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Does Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

COO & Executive Director recently bought AU$59k worth of stock

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR)

COO & Executive Director recently bought AU$60k worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week