Dicker Data Limited

ASX:DDR Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$2.7b

Dicker Data Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Dicker Data is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.5% and 13.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 34.3% in 3 years.

Key information

9.5%

Earnings growth rate

9.31%

EPS growth rate

Electronic earnings growth17.5%
Revenue growth rate13.8%
Future return on equity34.32%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated15 Sep 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Sep 03

DDR: Updated Assumptions Will Support Steady Returns In Balanced Outlook

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Dicker Data from A$11.95 to A$15.86. This reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple.
New Narrative • Aug 28

AI Infrastructure Mix And Margin Compression Will Challenge This Tech Distributor

Catalysts About Dicker Data Dicker Data is an IT distributor that supplies hardware, software and related solutions to reseller partners across Australia and New Zealand. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • Aug 18

DDR: Updated Assumptions Point To Steady Future Returns In Balanced Setup

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Dicker Data from A$11.21 to A$11.95, reflecting updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What’s in the News There are currently no recent public news items available for Dicker Data from the specified sources as at 17 Aug 2026.
Narrative Update • Jun 24

DDR: AI Security Partnerships And Data Centers Will Support Balanced Returns

Analysts have kept their A$11.21 price target for Dicker Data broadly unchanged, citing only slight tweaks to the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions rather than any shift in the core outlook. What’s in the News for Dicker Data CrowdStrike expanded its Managed Security Service Provider go to market strategy across Japan and Asia Pacific, with Dicker Data named as a key distributor partner helping broaden access to the CrowdStrike Falcon platform for small and medium sized businesses.
Analysis Article • Jun 16

Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) Shares Could Be 6% Overvalued After Board Resignation

Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) is under fresh scrutiny after Independent Non Executive Director Leanne Ralph resigned, prompting immediate reshuffles across key governance committees and a temporary tightening of board level oversight. See our latest analysis for Dicker Data. The governance reshuffle comes as Dicker Data’s 30 day share price return of 33.82% and year to date share price return of 16.95% point to building momentum, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 54.86% highlights how...
Narrative Update • Jun 07

DDR: AI And Data Center Demand Are Expected To Support Balanced Returns

Analysts have slightly raised their A$ fair value estimate for Dicker Data from about A$11.14 to A$11.21, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple. What's in the News Dicker Data is reported to be using its position in the Australian and New Zealand IT distribution markets to serve demand linked to enterprise AI projects, data center infrastructure refreshes, software subscriptions and cybersecurity spending.
Narrative Update • May 13

DDR: Distributor Led Security Expansion And Fully Franked Dividend Are Expected To Support Returns

Analysts have maintained their A$11.14 price target for Dicker Data with only minor adjustments. The small change reflects slight tweaks to the discount rate and the assumed future P/E ratio, rather than any significant revision to the core outlook.
Narrative Update • Apr 27

DDR: Distributor Led Security Expansion And Fully Franked Dividend Will Support Returns

Analysts now keep their A$11.14 price target for Dicker Data unchanged, pointing to relatively stable assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as the basis for holding their valuation line. What's in the News CrowdStrike expanded its Managed Security Service Provider go to market strategy across Japan and Asia Pacific, using Dicker Data and Otsuka Corporation as key distributors to bring the Falcon platform to more small and medium sized businesses through a distributor led aggregation model (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Apr 12

DDR: Stable Outlook And Upcoming Fully Franked Dividend Will Support Returns

Analysts have kept Dicker Data's fair value estimate steady at A$11.14, with only minor tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. This supports an unchanged overall price target view.
Narrative Update • Mar 27

DDR: Upcoming Fully Franked Dividend Will Support A Positive Total Return Outlook

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Dicker Data at A$11.14. Only minor adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions have been made, resulting in an unchanged price target.
Narrative Update • Mar 12

DDR: Dividend Timing And Refreshed Earnings Assumptions Will Support A Positive Outlook

Analysts have lifted their Dicker Data price target slightly, with fair value moving from A$10.84 to A$11.14 as they refresh assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Dicker Data declared a fully franked final quarterly dividend of A$0.115 per share for the quarter ended 31 December 2025, with a payment date of 19 March 2026 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Feb 26

DDR: Dividend Timing And Earnings Assumptions Will Shape A Measured Outlook

Analysts have nudged their Dicker Data price target higher to A$10.84 from A$10.52, citing updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as the key drivers of the revised valuation. What's in the News Dicker Data declared a fully franked final quarterly dividend of A$0.115 per share for the quarter ended 31 December 2025, with a payment date of 19 March 2026 (Key Developments).
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New Narrative • Mar 16

Expanding Into Cybersecurity And AI Will Shape A Promising Future

Strategic focus on cybersecurity and AI could drive higher-margin sales and significantly impact future earnings.
Analysis Article • Jun 19

Is Dicker Data Limited (ASX:DDR) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value

Key Insights The projected fair value for Dicker Data is AU$6.74 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Dicker...
Analysis Article • Dec 23

With EPS Growth And More, Dicker Data (ASX:DDR) Makes An Interesting Case

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:DDR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20285,082131951476
12/31/20274,720121851256
12/31/20264,352115991166
12/31/20252,566869497N/A
9/30/20252,501849598N/A
6/30/20252,436839699N/A
3/31/20252,358818487N/A
12/31/20242,281797276N/A
9/30/20242,261796168N/A
6/30/20242,242805059N/A
3/31/20242,254815365N/A
12/31/20232,266825670N/A
9/30/20232,267792337N/A
6/30/20232,26876-104N/A
3/31/20232,24075-102N/A
12/31/20222,21273-101N/A
9/30/20222,34074-19N/A
6/30/20222,46776817N/A
3/31/20222,475751119N/A
12/31/20212,484741421N/A
9/30/20212,274672844N/A
6/30/20212,063604368N/A
3/31/20212,031592764N/A
12/31/20202,000571159N/A
9/30/20201,95759043N/A
6/30/20201,91560-1126N/A
3/31/20201,83857-519N/A
12/31/20191,76154112N/A
9/30/20191,69447N/A25N/A
6/30/20191,62740N/A38N/A
3/31/20191,56036N/A25N/A
12/31/20181,49332N/A12N/A
9/30/20181,44231N/A2N/A
6/30/20181,39130N/A-8N/A
3/31/20181,38530N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20171,30627N/A41N/A
9/30/20171,26726N/A46N/A
6/30/20171,22826N/A52N/A
3/31/20171,19626N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20161,18526N/A60N/A
9/30/20161,15924N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20161,13523N/A39N/A
3/31/20161,07920N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20151,07720N/A-23N/A
9/30/20151,10010N/AN/AN/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: DDR's forecast earnings growth (9.5% per year) is above the savings rate (3.8%).

Earnings vs Market: DDR's earnings (9.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (11.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: DDR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: DDR's revenue (13.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: DDR's revenue (13.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: DDR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (34.3%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/17 16:36
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/17 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Dicker Data Limited is covered by 11 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Aryan NoroziBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Josh KannourakisBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Lindsay BettiolGoldman Sachs