Stock Analysis

Ambertech Limited's (ASX:AMO) 29% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Earnings

ASX:AMO
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The Ambertech Limited (ASX:AMO) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29%. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 4.3% in the last year.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Ambertech may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.6x, since almost half of all companies in Australia have P/E ratios greater than 20x and even P/E's higher than 37x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Ambertech has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Ambertech

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:AMO Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 4th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Ambertech's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Ambertech's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 20% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 63% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's understandable that Ambertech's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Key Takeaway

Ambertech's P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Ambertech maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Ambertech that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ambertech, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ambertech is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.