Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Audinate Group Limited's (ASX:AD8) 33% Share Price Surge

Audinate Group Limited (ASX:AD8) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 33% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 53% share price decline over the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Audinate Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 10.9x, considering almost half the companies in Australia's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 1.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Audinate Group

What Does Audinate Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Audinate Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Audinate Group.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Audinate Group?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Audinate Group would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 14%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 93% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 17% per annum as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 14% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Audinate Group's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in Audinate Group have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Audinate Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Audinate Group that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.