Vista Group International Limited

CHIA:VGL Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$600.5m

Vista Group International Valuation

Is VGL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VGL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VGL (A$2.53) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$3.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VGL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VGL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VGL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-150.7x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VGL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VGL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.3x
RUL RPMGlobal Holdings
6.5x10.4%AU$653.4m
CAT Catapult Group International
4.6x14.5%AU$698.3m
IFM Infomedia
3.9x7.4%AU$524.7m
FCL FINEOS Corporation Holdings
2.3x9.7%AU$458.4m
VGL Vista Group International
4.7x12.5%AU$665.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VGL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.7x) compared to the peer average (4.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VGL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.5%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.5%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VGL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.7x) compared to the Australian Software industry average (2.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VGL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VGL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.7x
Fair PS Ratio4.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VGL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VGL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$2.53
AU$2.48
-1.9%
14.7%AU$3.03AU$2.02n/a5
Nov ’25AU$2.55
AU$2.48
-2.6%
14.7%AU$3.03AU$2.02n/a5
Oct ’25AU$2.41
AU$2.48
+3.0%
14.7%AU$3.03AU$2.02n/a5
Sep ’25AU$2.74
AU$2.48
-9.4%
14.7%AU$3.03AU$2.02n/a5
Aug ’25AU$2.21
AU$2.04
-7.5%
10.1%AU$2.44AU$1.90n/a5
Jul ’25AU$2.00
AU$2.04
+2.2%
10.1%AU$2.44AU$1.90n/a5
Jun ’25AU$2.05
AU$1.93
-5.6%
14.3%AU$2.40AU$1.55n/a5
May ’25AU$1.65
AU$1.93
+17.6%
14.3%AU$2.40AU$1.55n/a5
Apr ’25AU$1.83
AU$1.85
+1.1%
9.2%AU$2.06AU$1.59n/a4
Mar ’25AU$1.51
AU$1.85
+22.5%
9.2%AU$2.06AU$1.59n/a4
Feb ’25AU$1.49
AU$1.71
+15.4%
12.9%AU$1.87AU$1.40n/a3
Jan ’25AU$1.53
AU$1.71
+12.0%
12.9%AU$1.87AU$1.40n/a3
Dec ’24AU$1.21
AU$1.71
+42.2%
12.9%AU$1.87AU$1.40n/a3
Nov ’24AU$1.18
AU$1.71
+45.2%
12.9%AU$1.87AU$1.40AU$2.553
Oct ’24AU$1.34
AU$1.71
+28.2%
10.9%AU$1.84AU$1.45AU$2.413
Sep ’24AU$1.45
AU$1.71
+18.0%
10.9%AU$1.84AU$1.45AU$2.743
Aug ’24AU$1.74
AU$1.71
-2.0%
10.4%AU$1.85AU$1.46AU$2.213
Jul ’24AU$1.59
AU$1.67
+5.4%
9.3%AU$1.80AU$1.45AU$2.003
Jun ’24AU$1.26
AU$1.67
+32.6%
9.3%AU$1.80AU$1.45AU$2.053
May ’24AU$1.16
AU$1.67
+44.7%
9.3%AU$1.80AU$1.45AU$1.653
Apr ’24AU$1.28
AU$1.67
+30.6%
9.3%AU$1.80AU$1.45AU$1.833
Mar ’24AU$1.26
AU$1.67
+32.6%
9.3%AU$1.80AU$1.45AU$1.513
Feb ’24AU$1.33
AU$1.72
+29.5%
1.2%AU$1.75AU$1.71AU$1.493
Jan ’24AU$1.39
AU$1.72
+24.3%
1.2%AU$1.75AU$1.71AU$1.533
Dec ’23AU$1.40
AU$1.72
+23.0%
1.2%AU$1.75AU$1.71AU$1.213
Nov ’23AU$1.37
AU$1.72
+26.2%
1.2%AU$1.75AU$1.71AU$1.183

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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