Gentrack Group Limited

CHIA:GTK Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$651.3m

Gentrack Group Valuation

Is GTK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of GTK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: GTK (A$5.81) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (A$8.47)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: GTK is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GTK?

Key metric: As GTK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GTK. This is calculated by dividing GTK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GTK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio36.5x
EarningsNZ$20.87m
Market CapNZ$762.42m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GTK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GTK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36.1x
EOL Energy One
75.5x31.46%AU$444.4m
HSN Hansen Technologies
20.8x14.96%AU$902.7m
BVS Bravura Solutions
24x12.40%AU$932.5m
PPS Praemium
24.1x17.65%AU$326.6m
GTK Gentrack Group
36.5x22.24%AU$762.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GTK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.5x) compared to the peer average (36.1x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GTK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Software Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IRI Integrated Research
4.4x-19.96%US$41.51m
No more companies available in this PE range
GTK 36.5xIndustry Avg. 28.2xNo. of Companies3PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GTK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.5x) compared to the Oceanic Software industry average (28.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GTK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GTK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.5x
Fair PE Ratio34.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GTK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GTK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$5.81
AU$9.33
+60.57%
17.37%AU$12.39AU$7.56n/a6
Feb ’27AU$6.52
AU$9.75
+49.48%
16.11%AU$12.69AU$7.75n/a6
Jan ’27AU$7.40
AU$9.75
+31.70%
16.11%AU$12.69AU$7.75n/a6
Dec ’26AU$9.27
AU$9.75
+5.13%
16.11%AU$12.69AU$7.75n/a6
Nov ’26AU$8.06
AU$9.77
+21.21%
16.53%AU$12.70AU$7.84n/a6
Oct ’26AU$8.73
AU$10.62
+21.70%
13.56%AU$12.99AU$8.02n/a6
Sep ’26AU$9.14
AU$10.82
+18.37%
13.56%AU$13.23AU$8.17n/a6
Aug ’26AU$9.56
AU$10.96
+14.69%
13.65%AU$13.29AU$8.21n/a6
Jul ’26AU$11.48
AU$11.84
+3.16%
15.88%AU$13.83AU$8.25n/a6
Jun ’26AU$11.27
AU$11.84
+5.08%
15.88%AU$13.83AU$8.25n/a6
May ’26AU$11.10
AU$11.22
+1.05%
27.95%AU$14.54AU$6.82n/a6
Apr ’26AU$9.64
AU$11.22
+16.35%
27.95%AU$14.54AU$6.82n/a6
Mar ’26AU$10.10
AU$11.16
+10.45%
27.95%AU$14.46AU$6.78n/a6
Feb ’26AU$11.62
AU$11.05
-4.87%
27.01%AU$13.62AU$6.81AU$6.526
Jan ’26AU$11.57
AU$11.01
-4.80%
26.76%AU$13.64AU$6.82AU$7.406
Dec ’25AU$12.98
AU$10.54
-18.80%
25.65%AU$13.20AU$6.81AU$9.276
Nov ’25AU$9.00
AU$9.08
+0.90%
24.73%AU$10.99AU$5.49AU$8.066
Oct ’25AU$10.41
AU$9.08
-12.77%
24.73%AU$10.99AU$5.49AU$8.736
Sep ’25AU$9.34
AU$8.70
-6.85%
26.21%AU$10.99AU$5.50AU$9.145
Aug ’25AU$9.47
AU$8.70
-8.13%
26.21%AU$10.99AU$5.50AU$9.565
Jul ’25AU$9.43
AU$8.70
-7.74%
26.21%AU$10.99AU$5.50AU$11.485
Jun ’25AU$8.90
AU$8.70
-2.24%
26.21%AU$10.99AU$5.50AU$11.275
May ’25AU$7.33
AU$6.53
-10.92%
34.51%AU$10.08AU$4.58AU$11.104
Apr ’25AU$7.98
AU$5.36
-32.84%
20.20%AU$6.89AU$4.59AU$9.643
Mar ’25AU$7.16
AU$5.38
-24.87%
20.20%AU$6.92AU$4.61AU$10.103
Feb ’25AU$6.19
AU$5.38
-13.09%
20.20%AU$6.92AU$4.61AU$11.623
AU$9.35
Fair Value
37.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/15 06:57
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/13 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2025/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Gentrack Group Limited is covered by 12 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael ArdreyBell Potter
Owen HumphriesCanaccord Genuity
Nicholas BasileCLSA