COSOL Limited

CHIA:COS Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$164.1m

COSOL Valuation

Is COS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of COS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: COS (A$0.93) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$2.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: COS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for COS?

Key metric: As COS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for COS. This is calculated by dividing COS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is COS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.3x
EarningsAU$8.52m
Market CapAU$164.15m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does COS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for COS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average69.7x
EOL Energy One
129.1x48.5%AU$186.0m
DUG DUG Technology
51.8x33.5%AU$222.3m
RDY ReadyTech Holdings
63.8x24.1%AU$348.6m
PPS Praemium
34x22.2%AU$297.3m
COS COSOL
19.3x19.8%AU$164.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: COS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the peer average (69.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does COS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Software Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IRI Integrated Research
4x-20.4%US$69.27m
No more companies available in this PE range
COS 19.3xIndustry Avg. 65.3xNo. of Companies3PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: COS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the Australian Software industry average (65.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is COS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

COS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.3x
Fair PE Ratio36.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: COS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst COS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.93
AU$1.15
+24.3%
4.3%AU$1.20AU$1.10n/a2
Nov ’25AU$0.96
AU$1.15
+19.2%
4.3%AU$1.20AU$1.10n/a2
Oct ’25AU$0.94
AU$1.15
+22.3%
4.3%AU$1.20AU$1.10n/a2
Sep ’25AU$0.92
AU$1.15
+25.0%
4.3%AU$1.20AU$1.10n/a2
Aug ’25AU$1.14
AU$1.27
+11.5%
5.1%AU$1.33AU$1.20n/a2
Jul ’25AU$1.21
AU$1.27
+4.5%
5.1%AU$1.33AU$1.20n/a2
Jun ’25AU$1.15
AU$1.22
+6.1%
9.5%AU$1.33AU$1.10n/a2
May ’25AU$1.05
AU$1.19
+13.4%
7.2%AU$1.27AU$1.10n/a2
Apr ’25AU$1.01
AU$1.13
+11.9%
7.1%AU$1.21AU$1.05n/a2
Mar ’25AU$1.02
AU$1.13
+10.8%
7.1%AU$1.21AU$1.05n/a2
Feb ’25AU$0.93
AU$1.13
+21.6%
4.0%AU$1.17AU$1.08n/a2
Jan ’25AU$0.98
AU$1.13
+14.2%
4.0%AU$1.17AU$1.08n/a2
Dec ’24AU$0.85
AU$1.13
+32.4%
4.0%AU$1.17AU$1.08n/a2
Nov ’24AU$0.84
AU$1.14
+34.3%
3.1%AU$1.17AU$1.10AU$0.962
Oct ’24AU$0.89
AU$1.14
+28.2%
3.1%AU$1.17AU$1.10AU$0.942
Sep ’24AU$0.82
AU$1.14
+38.4%
3.1%AU$1.17AU$1.10AU$0.922
Aug ’24AU$0.85
AU$1.06
+24.7%
0.9%AU$1.07AU$1.05AU$1.142
Jul ’24AU$0.76
AU$1.04
+36.2%
3.4%AU$1.07AU$1.00AU$1.212

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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