Prophecy International Holdings Limited's (ASX:PRO) Low P/S No Reason For Excitement
Prophecy International Holdings Limited's (ASX:PRO) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Software industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.2x and even P/S above 10x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Check out our latest analysis for Prophecy International Holdings
How Prophecy International Holdings Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Prophecy International Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Prophecy International Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Prophecy International Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Prophecy International Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Prophecy International Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.5%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 30% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 40% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Prophecy International Holdings' P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
What Does Prophecy International Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Prophecy International Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Prophecy International Holdings (2 are potentially serious!) that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:PRO
Prophecy International Holdings
Engages in the design, development, and marketing of computer software applications and services in Australia, New Zealand, the Middle East, North America, Europe, Africa, and Asia.
Mediocre balance sheet with low risk.
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