While Megaport Limited (ASX:MP1) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the ASX. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine Megaport’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
Our analysis indicates that MP1 is potentially overvalued!
What's The Opportunity In Megaport?
According to my valuation model, Megaport seems to be fairly priced at around 19.30% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Megaport today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is A$5.24, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Megaport’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Can we expect growth from Megaport?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 87% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Megaport. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? MP1’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on MP1, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
It can be quite valuable to consider what analysts expect for Megaport from their most recent forecasts. So feel free to check out our free graph representing analyst forecasts.
If you are no longer interested in Megaport, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
Mobile Infrastructure for Defense and Disaster
The next wave in robotics isn't humanoid. Its fully autonomous towers delivering 5G, ISR, and radar in under 30 minutes, anywhere.
Get the investor briefing before the next round of contracts
Sponsored On Behalf of CiTechNew: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:MP1
Megaport
Provides on-demand interconnection services in Australia, New Zealand, Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, the United States of America, Canada, Mexico, and Brazil, and Europe.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.
Market Insights
Weekly Picks
Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08
Recently Updated Narratives
Airbnb Stock: Platform Growth in a World of Saturation and Scrutiny
Adobe Stock: AI-Fueled ARR Growth Pushes Guidance Higher, But Cost Pressures Loom
Thomson Reuters Stock: When Legal Intelligence Becomes Mission-Critical Infrastructure
Popular Narratives

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

The AI Infrastructure Giant Grows Into Its Valuation
Trending Discussion
