Stock Analysis

Firstwave Cloud Technology's (ASX:FCT) Shareholders Are Down 35% On Their Shares

ASX:FCT
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While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Firstwave Cloud Technology Limited (ASX:FCT) share price has gained 14% in the last three months. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. Truth be told the share price declined 35% in three years and that return, Dear Reader, falls short of what you could have got from passive investing with an index fund.

See our latest analysis for Firstwave Cloud Technology

Firstwave Cloud Technology wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

Over three years, Firstwave Cloud Technology grew revenue at 7.8% per year. Given it's losing money in pursuit of growth, we are not really impressed with that. Indeed, the stock dropped 11% over the last three years. Shareholders will probably be hoping growth picks up soon. But ultimately the key will be whether the company can become profitability.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:FCT Earnings and Revenue Growth January 10th 2021

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Firstwave Cloud Technology

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Firstwave Cloud Technology's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. We note that Firstwave Cloud Technology's TSR, at -26% is higher than its share price return of -35%. When you consider it hasn't been paying a dividend, this data suggests shareholders have benefitted from a spin-off, or had the opportunity to acquire attractively priced shares in a discounted capital raising.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Firstwave Cloud Technology rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 17% over the last year. This recent result is much better than the 8% drop suffered by shareholders each year (on average) over the last three. We're generally cautious about putting too much weigh on shorter term data, but the recent improvement is definitely a positive. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Firstwave Cloud Technology better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Firstwave Cloud Technology (of which 2 make us uncomfortable!) you should know about.

Firstwave Cloud Technology is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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