Stock Analysis

Is DXN (ASX:DXN) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

ASX:DXN
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that DXN Limited (ASX:DXN) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for DXN

How Much Debt Does DXN Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2021 DXN had AU$4.20m of debt, an increase on AU$3.60m, over one year. However, it does have AU$3.11m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$1.09m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:DXN Debt to Equity History March 1st 2022

How Strong Is DXN's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, DXN had liabilities of AU$4.25m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$14.9m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$3.11m and AU$988.3k worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling AU$15.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of AU$11.8m, we think shareholders really should watch DXN's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since DXN will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, DXN reported revenue of AU$10m, which is a gain of 52%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, DXN still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost a very considerable AU$8.5m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of AU$1.0m over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for DXN (of which 3 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether DXN is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.