Stock Analysis

Appen (ASX:APX) shareholders are still up 159% over 1 year despite pulling back 16% in the past week

ASX:APX
Source: Shutterstock

It's been a soft week for Appen Limited (ASX:APX) shares, which are down 16%. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last year have been very strong. During that period, the share price soared a full 136%. So it may be that the share price is simply cooling off after a strong rise. More important, going forward, is how the business itself is going.

Although Appen has shed AU$115m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Appen

Appen isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

In the last year Appen saw its revenue shrink by 28%. We're a little surprised to see the share price pop 136% in the last year. This is a good example of how buyers can push up prices even before the fundamental metrics show much growth. It's quite likely the revenue fall was already priced in, anyway.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:APX Earnings and Revenue Growth November 20th 2024

If you are thinking of buying or selling Appen stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Appen's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Appen shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 159%, over the last 1 year, is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Appen shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 159% over the last year. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 14% per year over five years. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Appen is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

But note: Appen may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.