There's Reason For Concern Over Acusensus Limited's (ASX:ACE) Price
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 2.4x in the Software industry in Australia, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Acusensus Limited's (ASX:ACE) P/S ratio of 2.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
View our latest analysis for Acusensus
How Has Acusensus Performed Recently?
Recent times have been advantageous for Acusensus as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Acusensus.How Is Acusensus' Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Acusensus' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 47% last year. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 16% per year as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 20% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Acusensus' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On Acusensus' P/S
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Given that Acusensus' revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Acusensus you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:ACE
Acusensus
Develops technology focused on the detection and provision of prosecutable evidence of distracted driving, seatbelt compliance, speeding, railway crossing compliance, and the monitoring vehicles of interest in Australia, the United States, and the United Kingdom.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.